Paraguay vs Ecuador Preview & Prediction | 2026 FIFA World Cup Qualifying (CONMEBOL)
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The impressive Ecuador have already booked their spot at the FIFA World Cup, and Paraguay are on the verge of following suit.
Kick-off date/time:
How to watch on TV: UK – Not televised / US – Not televised
How to watch online: UK – Cannot be streamed / US – Fanatiz
Key stats
- Paraguay have lost only two of the last nine World Cup qualifying matches between these teams (W4 D3).
- Paraguay have won all their previous nine World Cup qualifying matches at home against Ecuador.
- Paraguay have lost only one of their last ten World Cup qualifying matches (W5 D4). That was a 1-0 defeat away from home against Brazil in their most recent fixture on 10 June 2025.
- Paraguay have won their last five World Cup qualifying matches at home.
- Ecuador have lost only one of their last 15 World Cup qualifying matches (W7 D7). They are unbeaten in nine (W4 D5).
- Ecuador have kept 11 clean sheets in their last 13 World Cup qualifying matches.
- Ecuador’s last three World Cup qualifying matches finished without a goal being scored.
Paraguay vs Ecuador prediction
Paraguay’s only defeat in their last ten qualifiers came against Brazil last time out, and that solid run means that they are guaranteed to at least make the inter-confederation play-offs.
Gustavo Alfaro’s side essentially need only a point to ensure automatic qualification though, and they would of course prefer to get that done here rather than in their last fixture against Peru.
The hard work is already done for Ecuador though, with Sebastian Beccacece’s men having been the surprise package in CONMEBOL qualifying this time around.
In second place heading into the penultimate round of fixtures, Ecuador’s success has been built on a watertight defence; despite scoring only 13 goals in their 16 qualifiers to date, they have conceded a paltry five.
There is no reason to think that will change here, and with Paraguay likely to be content with a point, a low-scoring affair is expected.
Paraguay vs Ecuador tip: Under 1.5 goals
