Mainz vs Bayern Munich Preview: Team News & Prediction

Click here for today’s sports betting tips from our expert analysts!

Harry Kane looks to get back on the scoresheet in Bayern Munich’s trip to Mainz.

Kick-off date/time: 7 November 2026 at 2:30 pm

How to watch on TV: UK – Not televised / USA – ESPN

How to watch online: UK – Cannot be streamed / USA – ESPN+

Mainz preview: Leaking goals

Mainz are in terrible form defensively, and it's costing them points. The hosts have conceded at least three goals in three of their last four league games and ended up on the losing side each time.

Two of those defeats came on home soil, as Mainz were edged out 3-4 by Bayer Leverkusen and beaten 2-3 at the hands of Werder Bremen. They also went on the road to SV Elversberg and got thrashed 4-1. Until their backline improves and they plug the gaps, Mainz are likely to be in for more punishment, especially here against a side of Bayern's class.

Bayern Munich preview: No room for error

Bayern Munich blew a huge opportunity last weekend to put some daylight between themselves and Borussia Dortmund at the top of the Bundesliga. The Rekordmeister went ahead twice in Der Klassiker, but Niko Kovac's side pegged them back on both occasions, forcing Bayern to settle for a 2-2 draw at the Allianz Arena.

That leaves the two clubs level on 18 points, with Bayern's superior goal difference keeping them top. There was better news in midweek, though. Despite missing a raft of players, the German champions won 0-2 away at Atletico Madrid in the Champions League, a hugely impressive result, not to mention a clean sheet.

Mainz team news: Double suspension

Both Mwene and Posch are suspended for Mainz, a big blow for head coach Urs Fischer, who is also without Kohr and Silas Katompa Mvumpa

Predicted XI (3-5-2): Zentner; da Costa, Gruber, Potulski; Caci, Lee, Sano, Amiri, Widmer; Tietz, Becker

Unavailable: Kohr (Injured), Mwene (Suspended), Posch (Suspended), Silas (Injured)

Questionable: Ruoppi (Injured)

Bayern Munich team news: Light in attack

Bayern Munich remain short in attacking midfielder with Diaz, Gnabry, Musiala and Saibari all out. That should mean another start for Lennart Karl, with Brown likely supporting Olise and Kane.

Predicted XI (4-2-3-1): Neuer; Laimer, Upamecano, Kim, Stanisic; Kimmich, Pavlovic; Olise, Karl, Brown; Kane

Unavailable: Gyamerah (Injured), Seifert (Injured), Zimmerschied (Injured)

Questionable: Diaz (Injured), Gnabry (Injured), Musiala (Injured), Ndiaye (Injured), Saibari (Injured)

Key stats

• Bayern have won 28 of their 40 Bundesliga meetings with Mainz since 1995/96 (D4 L8), scoring 116 goals – an average of 2.90 per game.
• Mainz have beaten Bayern four times since the start of 2020/21 – more than any other Bundesliga side in that period – all at home (2-1 in April 2021, 3-1 in April 2022, 3-1 in April 2023 and 2-1 in December 2024).
• Bayern's last Bundesliga away defeat came in Mainz, 2-1 on 14 December 2024 – they are unbeaten in 30 away games since (W22 D8), their second-longest away unbeaten run since 1995/96 behind 33 between April 2012 and March 2014.
• Mainz have scored in each of their last eight home games against Bayern, and the last meeting in Mainz, on 25 April 2026, ended 3-4.
• The 40 Bundesliga meetings between the sides since 1995/96 have averaged 4.15 goals, with Bayern's 8-1 home win on 9 March 2024 the biggest margin.
• Bayern top the table on goal difference coming into Matchweek 9 (W5 D3), having scored 27 goals – the most in the Bundesliga – and conceded eight.
• Bayern are unbeaten in 23 Bundesliga games (W17 D6) since a 1-2 home defeat by Augsburg on 24 January 2026, but have conceded in their last four games.
• Bayern's three draws after eight games equals their most at this stage of a season since 1995/96 (also three in 2008/09, 2009/10, 2019/20 and 2022/23).
• Mainz are ninth with ten points, but have only one point from four home games (D1 L3) compared with nine away (W3 L1).
• Mainz are winless in seven home Bundesliga games (D1 L6) since beating Frankfurt 2-1 on 22 March 2026, and have lost their last three at home (1-3 vs Frankfurt, 3-4 vs Leverkusen and 2-3 vs Werder Bremen).
• Mainz have lost their last two games, 2-3 at home to Werder Bremen and 1-4 at Elversberg – the latter ending a run of five consecutive away wins.
• Mainz matches have averaged 4.25 goals this season, the joint-second-highest in the division with Leverkusen, behind Bayern's 4.38.
• Mainz have won only one of their eight Bundesliga games refereed by Robert Schroder since 2018/19 (D4 L3) – 3-2 at Leverkusen in February 2023 – and have not kept a clean sheet in any of them.
• Schroder's 92 Bundesliga games since 2018/19 have averaged 3.50 goals, above the Bundesliga average of 2.95 since 1995/96, and Bayern have scored 33 goals in their 11 games with him (W7 D2 L2).

‘Key stats’ are Bundesliga only (not all competitions)

Mainz vs Bayern Munich prediction

It's critical that Bayern Munich take advantage of a Mainz side who have had real trouble keeping the opposition at bay over the past few weeks. Confidence within the home defence is clearly extremely low, and when you factor in the calibre of players Bayern can call upon going forward, there's no excuse for the visitors not to rack up a few goals.

One player who will be desperate to get on the scoresheet more than once is Harry Kane. Unbelievably, the England captain has failed to find the net in his last three appearances in all competitions, an extremely rare occurrence for such a prolific marksman. He won't be kept quiet for long, though. Back normal service to resume, both for Kane and for the champions.

Mainz vs Bayern Munich tip: Bayern Munich to win and Harry Kane to score two or more