USA vs Mexico Preview & Prediction | 2025 CONCACAF Gold Cup | Final

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Mauricio Pochettino has the chance to secure his first trophy as USA boss in the CONCACAF Gold Cup final against Mexico, who have won just one of the last eight meetings between these two nations.

Kick-off date/time:

How to watch on TV & online: UK – CONCACAF GO YouTube channel / US – Fox Sports

USA team news: Unchanged again

It would be no surprise to see an unchanged starting line-up from USA after their semi-final victory. That means an attacking three of Berhalter, Tillman and Luna behind Agyemang up top with Freese preferred again over Turner in goal.

Predicted XI (4-2-3-1): Freese; Freeman, Richards, Rea, Arfsten; Adams, De La Torre; Berhalter, Tillman, Luna; Agyemang

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Mexico team news: Will Gimenez start

One of the big questions ahead of this final from a Mexican standpoint is whether striker Santiago Gimenez will earn start. The likelihood is that Javier Aguirre opts for a front three, which means Jimenez central with Alvarado on the right and Vega the left. That would mean Gimenez on the bench again.

Predicted XI (4-3-3): Malagon; Araujo, Montes, Vasquez, Chavez; Mora, Alvarez, Ruiz; Alvarado, Jimenez, Vega

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USA vs Mexico prediction

It’s not been plain sailing for USA under the command of Pochettino, but this Gold Cup campaign has been a successful one for one of the 2026 FIFA World Cup host nations. Diego Luna was the American semi-final hero, the Real Salt Lake attacking midfielder scoring an early brace in what was an eventual 2-1 win for Pochettino’s side.

Mexico have not conceded a goal across the knockout stage so far, defeating Saudi Arabia by two goals to nil, before a single goal proved enough for them to beat Honduras and set up this final. The last two these two teams played was a friendly last fall, which was won 2-0 by Mexico and that result ended a seven-match winless run for Mexico against USA.

Understandably with this being a final, a tight contest is expected. Neither side will want to risk anything too aggressive offensive that could see them caught out on the counter-attack. With that in mind, the smart move to make in this final would be backing under 2.5 goals scored across the 90 minutes.

USA vs Mexico tip: Under 2.5 goals