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Italy vs Spain Preview & Prediction | UEFA Women’s EURO 2025 | Group Stage

by Alex Lawes · July 10 2025, 17:52
Updated July 11 2025, 18:21
Italy vs Spain Preview & Prediction | UEFA Women’s EURO 2025 | Group Stage
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Italy are in an excellent position to reach the quarter-finals, but it isn’t quite done and dusted just yet as they prepare to take on Spain in their final group stage outing.

Kick-off date/time:

How to watch on TV & online: UK – BBC platforms / US – Fox Sports & ViX

Italy team news: Strong as can be

With what is a fully fit and available squad, the Italians will be expected to keep it as similar as possible to the side that has taken four points from two games as qualification for the knockout stages is now on the line.

Predicted XI (3-5-2): Giuliani; Lenzini, Salvai, Linari; Di Guglielmo, Caruso, Giugliano, Severini, Boattin; Cantore, Girelli

Unavailable: 

Questionable: 

Spain team news: Potential rotation

Heading into their final game of the groups, Spain have no injury concerns or suspension issues, but the Spanish may be keen to rest and rotate. For example, both Ona Batlle and Laia Aleixandri will miss their next match if they are booked.

Predicted XI (4-3-3): Coll; Mendez, Paredes, Fernandez, Ouhabi; Lopez, Bonmati, Zubieta; Caldentey, Del Castillo, Martin-Prieto

Unavailable: 

Questionable: 

Key stats

  • The only previous Women’s EURO final tournament match between these teams was a 2-1 victory for Italy in the 1997 semi-finals.
  • The pair drew 1-1 when they last met in a friendly in Vicenza on 29 October 2024. Their most recent competitive meetings were in the 2023/24 UEFA Women’s Nations League when a 1-0 away win for Spain in Salerno was followed by a 3-2 victory for Italy in Pontevedra. 
  • Italy are aiming to reach the knockout rounds for the first time since 2013.
  • The only time Italy have completed a Women’s EURO group without losing a match was in 1997 (W1 D2).
  • Italy have scored in nine of their last 11 Women’s EURO final tournament matches.
  • A win would give Italy their highest points total in a Women’s EURO group stage (seven points – their current best is six in 2009).
  • Cristiana Girelli could become the tenth player to reach the landmark of ten Women’s EURO final tournament appearances for Italy.
  • Spain have now qualified from their group in each of their five Women’s EURO appearances, having previously done so in 1997, 2013, 2017 and 2022.
  • Spain have won successive Women’s EURO final tournament matches for the first time.
  • Spain have never completed a group stage at the finals without losing a match.
  • Spain have won ten of their last 11 international matches (L1).
  • Spain have scored 11 goals in two matches at Women’s EURO 2025. The most they scored in a final tournament previously was six in four matches (2022).
  • Mariona Caldentey could become the third Spanish player to reach the landmark of ten Women’s EURO final tournament appearances after Alexia Putellas and Irene Paredes.
  • Esther González is the first Spanish player to score in three successive Women’s EURO final tournament appearances.
  • Esther González and Alexia Putellas are now Spain’s joint-top scorers in Women’s EURO final tournaments with four goals.
  • Italy’s Martina Piemonte has played in Spain – for Sevilla in 2017/18 and Real Betis in 2019/20. Piemonte played with Seville native Olga Carmona at Sevilla.  She is the only member of Italy’s squad to have represented a Spanish club.
  • No member of Spain’s squad has played club football for an Italian team.
  • When Italy beat Spain 3-2 away in Pontevedra in the 2023-24 UEFA Women’s Nations League, Michela Cambiaghi and Elena Linari scored for Italy, Athenea Del Castillo and Esther González were among the scorers for Spain.
  • Chiara Beccari scored for Italy and Alba Redondo for Spain when the teams last met, in a Vicenza friendly on 29 October 2024.
  • Alexia Putellas scored for Spain when the sides drew 1-1 in a pre-UEFA Women’s EURO 2022 friendly in Castel di Sangro, 
  • Patricia Guijarro scored when Spain defeated Italy 2-0 at the 2018 Cyprus Women’s Cup in Larnaca.

Italy vs Spain prediction

On what is widely recognised as the weaker side of the draw, Italy will fancy their chances of causing Norway problems should they get through, but they will also be aware that perhaps pulling off an upset and defeating Spain will see them face an even more beatable opponent in the quarter-finals than even Norway.

They now face a Spain side that are the world champions and came into the tournament as the favourites with a star studded squad. They have been utterly brilliant in their opening two matches with a 5-0 demolition of Portugal being followed up by beating Belgium by six goals to two the other day.

Italy will need to avoid a major goal difference swing and they should be able to do so against a likely rotated Spain side. Spain remain favourites but it may a good watch for the neutral.

Italy vs Spain tip: Spain to win & both teams to score

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