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UFC Fight Night: Andre Fili vs Vinicius Oliveira Preview & Prediction

by Owen Liao ·
Updated
UFC Fight Night: Andre Fili vs Vinicius Oliveira Preview & Prediction

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Knockout-hungry Brazilian Vinicius Oliveira moves up a division to take on veteran gatekeeper Andre Fili, who steps in as a short-notice replacement for Giga Chikadze.

Andre Fili vs Vinicius Oliveira facts

What time are Andre Fili and Vinicius Oliveira expected to walk out?

Where is UFC Fight Night: Kape vs Horiguchi? Meta Apex, Enterprise, USA

Where can I get tickets for UFC Fight Night: Kape vs Horiguchi? Click here for the latest ticket information for UFC Fight Night 279

What TV channel is UFC Fight Night: Kape vs Horiguchi on? UK – TNT Sports / USA – Paramount

Where can I stream UFC Fight Night: Kape vs Horiguchi? UK – TNT Sports can stream the event online via the TNT Sports website and HBO Max / USA – Paramount+ & UFC Fight Pass

UFC Fight Night: Kape vs Horiguchi main card

Manel Kape vs Kyoji Horiguchi (Flyweight)

Ion Cutelaba vs Navajo Stirling (Light Heavyweight)

Hyder Amil vs Christian Rodriguez (Featherweight)

Melsik Baghdasaryan vs Murtazali Magomedov (Featherweight)

Andre Fili vs Vinicius Oliveira (Featherweight)

UFC Fight Night: Kape vs Horiguchi prelims

Andre Lima vs Kevin Borjas (Flyweight)

Beatriz Mesquita vs Melissa Mullins (Women's Bantamweight)

Allan Nascimento vs Mitch Raposo (Flyweight)

Gaston Bolanos vs Michael Aswell Jr. (Featherweight)

Leon Shahbazyan vs Levan Chokheli (Welterweight)

Karol Rosa vs Luana Santos (Women's Bantamweight)

Shane Collins vs Otari Tanzilovi (Featherweight)

Andre Fili: Will “Touchy” Fili’s chin hold strong?

Andre Fili (25-13, 1NC) is the ultimate gatekeeper with over a decade and 25+ appearances in the octagon. Since 2020 he’s beaten the likes of Cub Swanson, Bill Algeo, Charles Jourdain, Lucas Almeida and Christian Rodriguez, while only losing to the better names – Jose Delgado, Melquizael Costa, Dan Ige, Nathaniel Wood and Bryce Mitchell. He switches stances constantly, works behind a long jab with leg kicks and feints, but lacks pop in his shots. His weaknesses come from carrying his chin high and getting defensively loose when trading. Fili has alternated between wins and losses for the past nine fights, will this fight see a break in that streak?

Vinicius Oliveira: “LokDog” chases the power that made him a regional nightmare

Vinicius Oliveira (23-4) makes his featherweight debut after a strong but ultimately ceiling-touching run at bantamweight, where he climbed to the number 12 spot before being shown levels and submitted by Mario Bautista in the second round last time out. The Brazilian is a brute-force knockout artist – wild hooks, hard kicks, and a love for messy exchanges where he’ll happily eat one to land one. His insane regional finishing rate hasn’t translate, just one of his four UFC wins came by stoppage, with decisions over Ricky Simon, Said Nurmagomedov and Kyler Phillips making up the rest.

Andre Fili vs Vinicius Oliveira prediction

The bet here is that featherweight unlocks the version of Oliveira the regional scene had once feared. He’s always fought like a powerhouse with little technique, trapped in a frame a touch too small, and the move up should hand him the extra strength and explosiveness his brawling style feeds on. He pressures forward on flat feet, throws an ugly squatting hook, and loves to use that to set up the bomb right hand. He increases his volume and speed the moment he smells a finish.

That’s bad news for Fili’s biggest flaw. The vet carries his chin high and gets careless in exchanges, and while he’s survived genuinely dangerous strikers, he’s also been knocked out by the likes of Dan Ige. It only takes one pocket exchange where Fili makes a mistake for Oliveira to land something that ends it.

Fili’s path is clear – use his reach, footwork and feints to pick Oliveira apart at range, avoid scrappy trades, and do not deviate from the plan. If he makes it into the third, Oliveira’s explosiveness historically fades, but the likelier story is the Brazilian piling on early pressure, forcing wild exchanges, and damaging the veteran enough in the first two to either put him away or secure the decision. I reckon Oliveira can get it done before the third round.

Prediction: Vinicius Oliveira to win by KO/TKO

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