UFC Fight Night: Allan Nascimento vs Mitch Raposo Preview & Prediction
Flyweights clash in the penultimate prelim on the card, with Mitch Raposo looking for his second UFC win against submission specialist, Allan Nascimento.
Allan Nascimento vs Mitch Raposo facts
What time are Allan Nascimento and Mitch Raposo expected to walk out?
Where is UFC Fight Night: Kape vs Horiguchi? Meta Apex, Enterprise, USA
Where can I get tickets for UFC Fight Night: Kape vs Horiguchi? Click here for the latest ticket information for UFC Fight Night 279
What TV channel is UFC Fight Night: Kape vs Horiguchi on? UK – TNT Sports / USA – Paramount
Where can I stream UFC Fight Night: Kape vs Horiguchi? UK – TNT Sports can stream the event online via the TNT Sports website and HBO Max / USA – Paramount+ & UFC Fight Pass
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs Horiguchi main card
Manel Kape vs Kyoji Horiguchi (Flyweight)
Ion Cutelaba vs Navajo Stirling (Light Heavyweight)
Hyder Amil vs Christian Rodriguez (Featherweight)
Melsik Baghdasaryan vs Murtazali Magomedov (Featherweight)
Andre Fili vs Vinicius Oliveira (Featherweight)
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs Horiguchi prelims
Andre Lima vs Kevin Borjas (Flyweight)
Beatriz Mesquita vs Melissa Mullins (Women's Bantamweight)
Allan Nascimento vs Mitch Raposo (Flyweight)
Gaston Bolanos vs Michael Aswell Jr. (Featherweight)
Leon Shahbazyan vs Levan Chokheli (Welterweight)
Karol Rosa vs Luana Santos (Women's Bantamweight)
Shane Collins vs Otari Tanzilovi (Featherweight)
Allan Nascimento: Can "Puro Osso" score his fifth consecutive victory?
Perfect outside of a split decision loss to Tagir Ulanbekov in his debut, Allan Nascimento (22-6) is starting to earn a reputation as somewhat of a dark horse in the 125 pound weight division. A lethal and opportunistic submission threat with sixteen wins by tap out to his name, "Puro Osso" has never been finished throughout his professional career and has scored two performance bonuses throughout his UFC tenure. He's currently riding a solid four fight win streak, taking out Jake Hadley, Carlos Hernandez, Jafel Filho, and Cody Durden in succession. His win over Durden last time out was particularly impressive, with the Brazilian knocking down the flyweight rankings staple en route to a submission victory.
Mitch Raposo: The TUF alum aiming to build on his current momentum
A veteran of TUF 29, Mitch Raposo (10-3) holds the unfortunate distinction of having come up short on The Ultimate Fighter and the Contender Series before eventually earning a UFC contract off the back of a four fight win streak on the regional circuit. The 27 year old flyweight is 1-2 since joining the promotion, dropping back-to-back decisions to Andre Lima and Su Mudaerji before righting the ship with a decision over Azat Maksum last time out. A wrestler with a polished technical boxing game, the biggest knock against Raposo is his inability to put his foot on the gas when he needs to, whether that be in the striking or the grappling. He's also one of the smaller flyweights on the entire roster, standing 5'5" with a 64.5" reach.
Allan Nascimento vs Mitch Raposo prediction
There’s a strong chance that Raposo is going to get absolutely destroyed here. While he’s endured multiple cancellations and fought fairly infrequently, Nascimento has quietly put together one of the better runs in the 125 pound division, scoring four successive wins with two submissions. He’s only lost to ranked competition since joining the promotion, dropping a decision to an enormous flyweight in Tagir Ulanbekov.
Raposo simply doesn’t do enough in his fights to make me think that he’s got any chance of earning a victory here. He lands 1.73 significant strikes a minute and only lands takedowns at a 37% clip, to say nothing of the fact that he’s got mediocre takedown defense for somebody who is allegedly a wrestler. He’s also on the wrong edge of a huge size and reach discrepancy, taking on one of the more underrated operators at 125 pounds.
Whether he gets Raposo to the mat himself or capitalizes on a half-hearted takedown attempt to reverse position, I think the Chute Box representative is going to find one of his trademark submissions in this one. “Puro Osso” snatches up a choke from the front headlock or after taking the back somewhere inside the first two rounds, showing levels and scoring his fifth successive victory.
Prediction: Allan Nascimento to win by submission
