Lorenzo Musetti vs Daniil Medvedev Preview & Prediction | 2025 Italian Open | Round of 16

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Lorenzo Musetti continues his home event against Daniil Medvedev, with a place in the quarter-finals on the line.

Ranking points: ATP 1000

Start date/time:

Venue: Foro Italico, Rome, Italy

Surface: Outdoor clay

How to watch on TV: UK – Sky Sports Tennis / US – Tennis Channel

How to watch online: UK – Sky Go / US – Tennis Channel

Tickets: Visit this link for the latest Lorenzo Musetti vs Daniil Medvedev ticket information

Lorenzo Musetti vs Daniil Medvedev prediction

Lorenzo Musetti recorded another comfortable win to make it through to the round-of-16 stage of his home event in Rome as he defeated Brandon Nakashima 6-4 6-3. The Italian has faced just one break point in each of his two matches and hasn’t lost serve in this tournament so far.

He will have his toughest test to date against Daniil Medvedev. The Russian was rarely troubled as he raced to a comfortable 6-4 6-1 win over Alexei Popyrin in the last round. 

Medvedev has won both of their previous matches in straight sets, though both were on hard court and took place within a few weeks of each other in the summer of 2023. Plenty has changed since then, with the Italian moving into the world’s top 10 and Medvedev dropping out.

Musetti has made serene progress so far but Medvedev’s exceptional rally tolerance from the back of the court will ask more questions of the world number 10. Nevertheless, Musetti has shown himself to be one of the most in-form clay court players of the past month and we back him to make it through to the quarter-finals.

Lorenzo Musetti vs Daniil Medvedev tip: Lorenzo Musetti to win