Jannik Sinner vs Carlos Alcaraz Preview & Prediction | 2025 Italian Open | Final

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World number one Jannik Sinner renews his rivalry with Carlos Alcaraz as the Italian attempts to win his home event for the first time.

Ranking points: ATP 1000

Start date/time:

Venue: Foro Italico, Rome, Italy

Surface: Outdoor clay

How to watch on TV: UK – Sky Sports Tennis / US – Tennis Channel

How to watch online: UK – Sky Go / US – Tennis Channel

Tickets: Visit this link for the latest Jannik Sinner vs Carlos Alcaraz ticket information

Jannik Sinner vs Carlos Alcaraz prediction

Jannik Sinner recovered from a slow start to reach his first ever Italian Open final. Sinner defeated Tommy Paul 1-6 6-0 6-3 to increase his unbeaten run to 26 matches. 

He will take on Carlos Alcaraz in the final after the Spaniard defeated Lorenzo Musetti 6-3 7-6 in the other semi-final. Alcaraz wasn’t at his best, with a total of 42 unforced errors compared to just 19 winners but managed to deal with the windy conditions and win once again without being at his best.

Alcaraz leads the head-to-head 6-4 and has won their last three encounters, with the most recent being the Beijing final in October which stands as Sinner’s last defeat on the tour. The head-to-head is 1-1 on clay.

Alcaraz’s recent record against his opponent could give him the edge, but he was wayward at times with his groundstrokes in the semi and cannot afford to make the same amount of mistakes against Sinner who will likely be the aggressor during the opening exchanges. The Italian has seemed on a mission during his comeback and spurred on by a passionate home crowd, we can see him winning in three.

Jannik Sinner vs Carlos Alcaraz tip: Jannik Sinner to win 2-1