St Kilda vs Hawthorn Preview & Prediction | 2025 AFL | Regular Season | Round 17

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Saturday at Marvel Stadium pits in-form Hawthorn, chasing a fourth straight win and top-four contention, against a faltering St Kilda side desperate to keep their fading finals hopes alive.
Kick-off date/time:
How to watch on TV: UK – TNT Sports / US – Some matches are televised on Fox Sports channels
How to watch online: UK – discovery+ & Watch AFL / US – Watch AFL
The prediction
St Kilda (15th) are smarting from a narrow 12-point loss to Fremantle in Perth, a game they led early in the final term before being overrun 81-69. This was their third straight defeat.
Saints' ruckman, Rowan Marshall, was magnificent against Fremantle's vaunted dual-ruck combination. Marshall competed tirelessly, finishing with 22 disposals and a remarkable Goal of the Year contender.
Hawthorn (5th) are flying again. Coming off a bye, they produced a stunning 85-point demolition of North Melbourne in Tasmania (150-65). This was their third consecutive win.
33-year-old veteran, Jack Gunston, is in superb touch. Against North Melbourne, he was simply unstoppable, kicking a career-high 7 goals from 15 disposals in a best-on-ground performance.
Recent history between these two sides is evenly split, with each team winning one of their last two meetings. Hawthorn claimed a tight 5-point victory in Round 9, 2024, while St Kilda were 29-point winners in Round 20, 2023.
The primary challenge for St Kilda will be containing Hawthorn's potent forward line, where Jack Gunston and Mabior Chol are in sync. The Saints' midfield will also face a huge test against an in-form Hawthorn engine room.
St Kilda vs Hawthorn tip: Hawthorn to win by 25+ points