Melbourne vs Collingwood Preview & Prediction | 2025 AFL | Regular Season | Round 13

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The traditional King's Birthday blockbuster at the MCG sees Melbourne host Collingwood, in what is always a highly anticipated and fiercely contested match.
Kick-off date/time:
How to watch on TV: UK – TNT Sports / US – Some matches are televised on Fox Sports channels
How to watch online: UK – discovery+ & Watch AFL / US – Watch AFL
The prediction
Melbourne (12th) is coming off a 91-63 loss to St Kilda that may well have been their worst performance of the season. Inaccuracy in front of goal (7.21) proving costly and stalling their mid-season revival after a woeful start.
Max Gawn continued his consistent season for the Demons against St Kilda, with 22 disposals, 30 hit-outs, and 6 clearances despite the team's struggles.
Collingwood (1st) stormed to a dominant 51-point victory over Hawthorn (107-56) in Round 12, possibly their most complete performance of the season, showcasing efficiency and intense pressure.
Collingwood's Jamie Elliott was on fire, booting five crucial goals in a match-winning display from the star forward.
Collingwood defeated Melbourne 103-57 in their most recent encounter (R24, 2024). Collingwood has a strong historical advantage, leading Melbourne 156 wins to 85, with 5 draws. The Magpies have also won six of the past seven between the sides.
Collingwood enters as hot favourites, playing a powerful brand of football. Melbourne, stung by their poor kicking against the Saints, must lift significantly to challenge the ladder leaders. Expect a massive crowd and a high-stakes contest worthy of the occasion.
Melbourne vs Collingwood tip: Collingwood to win by 25+ points