Geelong vs Richmond Preview & Prediction | 2025 AFL | Regular Season | Round 17

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Saturday at GMHBA Stadium sees Geelong aiming to reassert their dominance against a struggling Richmond side on a six-game skid and sitting 17th.

Kick-off date/time:

How to watch on TV: UK – TNT Sports / US – Some matches are televised on Fox Sports channels

How to watch online: UK – discovery+ & Watch AFL / US – Watch AFL

The prediction

Geelong Cats (4th) entered their Round 16 bye on the back of a shock result. Their five-game winning streak was snapped in emphatic fashion by Brisbane, who defeated them by 41 points (51-92) in Patrick Dangerfield's 350th milestone game.

Even in a heavy team defeat against Brisbane, the Jeremy Cameron was a standout performer, kicking four of Geelong's six goals for the match. This match against the Tigers should be another opportunity for Cameron to get points on the board.

Richmond (17th) is in a state of disarray, having lost their last six matches. Their most recent outing was a humbling 122-54 loss to Adelaide at the MCG.

Amid the carnage of Richmond's defeat, Dion Prestia was a ray of professionalism and effort. Prestia battled tirelessly against a dominant Crows midfield to finish with a team-high 29 disposals, 5 marks, and 7 tackles.

Geelong has exerted significant dominance in this matchup in recent years, winning four of the last five clashes. The historical context at GMHBA Stadium is even more daunting for the Tigers. The Cats are currently on a six-game winning streak against the Tigers at the venue, with Richmond's last victory down the highway coming in 2006.

This fixture has all the ingredients for a comfortable, percentage-boosting victory for Geelong. The Cats are notoriously difficult to defeat at home and will be breathing fire after their last performance. Richmond's on-field struggles are compounded by poor discipline and key absences.

Geelong vs Richmond tip: Geelong to win by 40+ points