Geelong vs Brisbane Lions Preview & Prediction | 2025 AFL | Qualifying Final

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Modern rivals Geelong and Brisbane clash at the MCG, with the Cats looking to leverage their finals experience against the in-form Lions.

Kick-off date/time:

How to watch on TV: UK – TNT Sports / US – Some matches are televised on Fox Sports channels

How to watch online: UK – discovery+ & Watch AFL / US – Watch AFL

The prediction

The Geelong Cats (2nd, 17W, 6L) secured a top two finish with a commanding 39-point victory over Richmond. The game was effectively over by halftime as the Cats put on a clinical display of efficiency.

The Brisbane Lions (3rd, 16W, 1D, 7L) clinched their top four spot with a grinding 10-point win over Hawthorn. It was a victory earned the hard way, overcoming a shocking case of inaccuracy with a final score of 11.23 (89).

Key Players:

Geelong's Jeremy Cameron sealed his second Coleman Medal with a four-goal haul against Richmond. His overall impact was immense, involved in a game-high 14 scores to showcase his unique ability as both a finisher and creator. His 83 goals for the season are the most since Brendan Fevola kicked 86 in 2009.

Brisbane's Josh Dunkley was a midfield bull against the Hawks, dominating the contest to finish with 33 disposals, 16 contested possessions and eight tackles.

Head-to-Head:

Brisbane has won the last three encounters between the clubs, including a convincing 41-point victory at the MCG in Round 15 of this season.

Brisbane's recent dominance gives them a psychological edge, but their recurring inaccuracy in front of goal is a major vulnerability against an efficient Geelong side.

Geelong vs Brisbane Lions tip: Geelong to win by 1-39 points