Bayern Munich vs Arsenal Preview & Prediction | 2023-24 UEFA Champions League | Quarter-Final
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THE FACTS
When is Bayern Munich vs Arsenal on and what time does it start? Bayern Munich vs Arsenal will take place on Wednesday 17th April, 2024 – 20:00 (UK)
Where can I get tickets for Bayern Munich vs Arsenal? Visit each club’s official website for the latest ticket information
What channel is Bayern Munich vs Arsenal on in the UK? Bayern Munich vs Arsenal will be televised live on TNT Sports in the UK
Where can I stream Bayern Munich vs Arsenal in the UK? Bayern Munich vs Arsenal can be streamed live on the discovery+
THE LOWDOWN
BAYERN MUNICH
For the first time since 2012, someone other than Bayern Munich have clinched the Bundesliga title. Bayer Leverkusen’s 5-0 hammering of Werder Bremen at the weekend has now officially confirmed what was known for a while and that is that Bayern’s only chance of silverware this season will come in the UEFA Champions League.
With the final taking place at Wembley Stadium, where Bayern won the trophy in 2013, there will be a sentimental belief the Bavarians are destined for European glory. They performed better than they have for the vast majority of this season in the first-leg of this quarter-final tie at the Emirates Stadium last week as they shared a 2-2 draw.
ARSENAL
Mikel Arteta will be feeling sucker punched after Arsenal suffered a 2-0 defeat at home to Aston Villa at the Emirates Stadium at the weekend. With Liverpool suffering a surprise loss to Crystal Palace at Anfield, the Gunners had the chance to make the title race more of a two-horse race but have instead given up ground on defending treble winners Manchester City.
That loss at home to Unai Emery’s Villains means that Arsenal have perhaps been unconvincing since hammering Sheffield United by six goals to nil at Bramall Lane in early March. They edged past Brentford, needed penalties against Porto and have since won just two of five matches across all competitions since the March international break.
THE TEAM NEWS
BAYERN MUNICH
Thomas Tuchel will be missing key defender Alphonso Davies with the Canadian international out suspended. Sacha Boey, Serge Gnabry and Kingsley Coman are all out with hamstring injuries alongside Bouna Sarr, suffering from a knee issue.
PREDICTED XI (4-2-3-1): Neuer; Kimmich, De Ligt, Dier, Guerreiro; Laimer, Goretzka; Sane, Muller, Musiala; Kane
UNAVAILABLE: Boey (Injured), Sarr (Injured), Davies (Suspended), Coman (Injured), Gnabry (Injured)
QUESTIONABLE: Sane (Injured)
ARSENAL
Mikel Arteta has said that Jurrien Timber could play again for the Gunners this season but will not yet be available for the first-team. Kai Havertz moved back into midfield at the weekend but the expectation is that the German international returns to Arsenal’s front-line. Martin Odegaard is a doubt.
PREDICTED XI (4-3-3): David Raya; White, Saliba, Gabriel, Kiwior; Odegaard, Jorginho, Rice; Saka, Havertz, Martinelli
UNAVAILABLE: Timber (Injured)
QUESTIONABLE: Odegaard (Injured)
THE KEY STATS
- Bayern have won 11 and drawn three of their last 14 UEFA Champions League matches at home.
- Bayern have lost only one of their last ten UEFA matches against English clubs in Germany (W7 D2).
- Bayern have lost their last three UEFA Champions League quarter-final ties and are aiming to reach the semi-finals for the first time since 2019/20 when they went on to lift the trophy.
- Bayern have lost only two of their last 14 UEFA Champions League matches against English teams (W9 D3).
- Bayern have lost only three of their previous 13 UEFA matches against Arsenal (W7 D3).
- Bayern have won four of their previous six UEFA matches at home against Arsenal (D1 L1). They won 5-1 in each of the last two meetings in Munich.
- Thomas Müller (149 apps, GS to F) can become the 6th player to reach 150 UEFA Champions League matches, group stage to final. The only other players to reach the landmark are Cristiano Ronaldo, Casillas, Messi, Benzema and Xavi. Müller would be only the second player to make 150 appearances for one club after Iker Casillas (150 for Real Madrid) and Xavi (151 for Barcelona).
- Leon Goretzka is set to make his 50th UEFA Champions League appearance (GS to F).
- Harry Kane has scored seven goals in the UEFA Champions League this season, matching his best tally which he recorded in the 2017/18 season. Prior to this season, no English player has scored eight in a campaign (GS to F).
- Bayern have won all but three of the 25 UEFA ties in which they drew the first leg away from home including the most recent, against Salzburg in the 2021/22 Champions League round of 16 (1-1 a, 7-1 h).
- Arsenal have won two of their previous seven European Cup/Champions League quarter-final ties. W 2-0 agg vs Juventus (2005/06) and W 4-1 agg vs Villarreal (2008/09).
- Overall, this is Arsenal’s 15th UEFA club competition quarter-final. They have won the three most recent, all in the UEFA Europa League.
- Arsenal have scored exactly 300 goals in the UEFA Champions League, group stage to final.
- Arsenal have lost only one of their last seven UEFA Champions League matches (W4 D2).
- Arsenal have won only two of their last 14 away matches in the UEFA Champions League knockout rounds (D2 L10).
- Arsenal have never won a European Cup/UEFA Champions League quarter-final match away from home (D3 L4).
- Arsenal have won five of their last seven matches away from home in all competitions (D1 L1).
- Arsenal have kept five clean sheets in their last six matches away from home in all competitions.
- Arsenal's record in UEFA competition ties when they have drawn the first leg at home is W4 L4. They have drawn only one previous tie 2-2 at home in the first leg, against Barcelona in the 2009/10 Champions League quarter-finals; they lost the second leg 4-1.
THE PREDICTION
It was an absolute thriller in the first-leg in north London and another exciting encounter is to be expected at the Allianz Arena. Bayern have lacked cohesion in both defence and attack this season and the absence of Serge Gnabry will be a major issue for their chaos theory. Arsenal head to Germany in likely a bad mood and there has been instances in the past, most notably just before the turn of the year, where the Gunners have suffered losses in quick succession and need a real break in order to reset. As a result of that, their home advantage and absolute outright desperation and need to salvage something from this season, backing Bayern may well be the best bet for this one.
TIP: BAYERN MUNICH TO WIN
