Adelaide vs Hawthorn Preview & Prediction | 2025 AFL | Semi-Final

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Minor premiers Adelaide will be desperate to avoid a catastrophic straight-sets finals exit when they host a red-hot Hawthorn at the Adelaide Oval on Friday.

Kick-off date/time:

How to watch on TV: UK – TNT Sports / US – Some matches are televised on Fox Sports channels

How to watch online: UK – discovery+ & Watch AFL / US – Watch AFL

The prediction

Adelaide is reeling after the 24-point qualifying final loss to Collingwood ended a nine-game winning streak and shattered their home-ground invincibility

The Hawthorn Hawks, on the other hand, are flying, having survived a classic elimination final against GWS, showing immense courage to rally late for a 13-point win. They dominated the first half before six straight GWS goals brought the contest to life as scores were level early in the fourth quarter. The Hawkes rallied away from home and held on for a famous victory. They will need more of the same this time in Adelaide against a Crows outfit keen to avoid the indignity of finishing first and not making a preliminary final.

Key Players: 

Adelaide forward Luke Pedlar was a lone hand in the loss to Collingwood, providing a constant threat and finishing with three crucial goals.

Hawthorn midfielder Jai Newcombe was immense against the Giants, dominating the contest with 32 disposals, a game-high 12 clearances and a goal.

Head-to-Head: 

The season series is split at one win apiece. Hawthorn won a low-scoring thriller by 3 points in Round 14, before Adelaide squared the ledger with a 14-point victory in Round 21. Hawthorn have six of the previous ten meetings so the matchup is remarkably close stretching back over five years.

Hawthorn enters the match with freedom and aggression, while Adelaide shoulder the pressure of avoiding a straight-sets exit. Far from satisfied with simply reaching the second week of finals, this hardened Hawthorn side genuinely believes it can deliver a major upset. We think they can go on the road for a second straight week and come away with a result.

Adelaide vs Hawthorn tip: Hawthorn to win