Adelaide vs Collingwood Preview & Prediction | 2025 AFL | Qualifying Final

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Minor premiers Adelaide hosts a battle-hardened Collingwood at Adelaide Oval to kick off the finals series in a Thursday blockbuster.
Kick-off date/time:
How to watch on TV: UK – TNT Sports / US – Some matches are televised on Fox Sports channels
How to watch online: UK – discovery+ & Watch AFL / US – Watch AFL
The prediction
The Adelaide Crows (1st, 18W, 5L) clinched the minor premiership with a hard-fought 13-point win over North Melbourne. The victory was their eighth in a row and secured the best winning ratio in club history.
The Collingwood Magpies (4th, 16W, 7L) secured the double chance with a trademark nail-biting six-point comeback win against Melbourne. They kicked four unanswered goals late to snatch the victory, demonstrating immense grit. It was a welcome return to form and not a minute too late as a loss to the Demons would have seen the Magpies drop as low as seventh and facing an interstate trip for an elimination final.
Key Players:
Adelaide's Riley Thilthorpe was a commanding presence against the Kangaroos, providing a strong aerial target and kicking three crucial goals. For the season he has kicked 55 goals and has been a major reason for the Crows turnaround this season.
Collingwood's Nick Daicos was the catalyst once again against the Demons. His work rate around the ground was crucial with 27 disposals and 12 contested possessions. His season averages of 30.4 disposals stack up well against any other Brownlow medal candidate.
Head-to-Head:
The teams have split their two 2025 encounters. Collingwood claimed a 10-point victory in Round 10, before Adelaide snapped a nine-year losing streak to the Magpies with a thrilling three-point win in Round 23.
Adelaide's potent attack will test the league's best defence, but the Crows' home-ground advantage could be the deciding factor in a matchup of elite sides.
Adelaide vs Collingwood tip: Adelaide to win by 20+ points