November 15, 2021 2:12 PM
Adam Evans

2021 Nitto ATP Finals – Group Stage – Daniil Medvedev vs Alexander Zverev Preview & Prediction

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THE FACTS

When is Daniil Medvedev vs Alexander Zverev on and what time does it start? Daniil Medvedev vs Alexander Zverev will take place on Tuesday 16th November, 2021 – not before 20:00 (UK)

Where is Daniil Medvedev vs Alexander Zverev taking place? Daniil Medvedev vs Alexander Zverev will take place at the Pala Alpitour in Turin, Italy

What surface is Daniil Medvedev vs Alexander Zverev being played on? Daniil Medvedev vs Alexander Zverev will take place on an indoor hard court

Where can I get tickets for Daniil Medvedev vs Alexander Zverev? Visit this link for the latest ticket information for Daniil Medvedev vs Alexander Zverev

What channel is Daniil Medvedev vs Alexander Zverev on? Daniil Medvedev vs Alexander Zverev will be televised on the Amazon Prime Video app on smart TVs

Where can I stream Daniil Medvedev vs Alexander Zverev? Amazon Prime subscribers can stream Daniil Medvedev vs Alexander Zverev live via their platform. Subscribers of Tennis TV can also stream the match live

THE LOWDOWN

It is an odd title defence for Daniil Medvedev with the Russian wining last season’s ATP Finals in London and defending it here in Turin but the 25-year-old overcame a worthy challenger, Hubert Hurkacz, from a set down. The world number two became a Grand Slam champion for the first time back in September with a masterclass against an exhausted Novak Djokovic in the final but he lost to the Serb earlier this month at the Paris Masters. Elsewhere this season, Medvedev has won the ATP Cup with Team Russia, the Marseille Open, Mallorca Championships and a fourth Masters title with victory at the Canadian Open.

World number three Alexander Zverev was up against it in his first round robin on Sunday but after scraping through a first-set tiebreak against Matteo Berrettini the Italian was forced to retire with an injury. 24-year-old Zverev has been the man in most form on the hard court swing, with a 29-3 record to show since losing to Felix Auger-Aliassime in London. It has arguably been the German’s best season with a Gold Medal at the Tokyo Olympic Games, two more Masters titles from Madrid and Cincinnati and two ATP 500 titles from the Mexican Open and recent Vienna Open. Zverev won the ATP Finals in 2018.

THE PREDICTION

This already well-travelled rivalry is finely poised on five wins apiece after Daniil Medvedev beat Alexander Zverev in the semi-finals of the Paris Masters earlier this month. The Russian has now won each of their last four meetings and five of the last six for a fairly convincing idea of where this match might be going but things look more complicated in Turin on a fast hardcourt that likely favours the German. The pair are 1-1 in ATP Finals meetings back in London but the conditions here favour big-servers, the pinnacle of Zverev’s game, and if he is accurate and brave on his second serve this looks a tough ask for Medvedev to win without tiebreaks required. The Russian remains the favourite on recent form and meetings but taking Zverev to win at least a set looks a shrewd move here with a decider looking likely. You could add at least one tiebreak to a total of three sets pick for a risky, potentially valuable move. It would not be a surprise to see this match played again in the grand final on Sunday.

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