May 10, 2024 1:00 PM
Ewan Lavender

MMA Preview – Carlos Diego Ferreira vs Mateusz Rebecki at UFC on ESPN 56

Click here for today’s sports betting tips from our expert analysts!

CARLOS DIEGO FERREIRA VS MATEUSZ REBECKI FACTS

When is UFC on ESPN 56? Saturday 11th May, 2024 - 22:00 (UK)

Where is UFC on ESPN 56? Enterprise Center, St. Louis, Missouri (US)

Where can I get tickets for UFC on ESPN 56? Click here to buy tickets for UFC on ESPN

What channel is UFC on ESPN 56 on? TNT Sports 2

Where can I stream UFC on ESPN 56? TNT Sports subscribers can stream the fight online via the TNT Sports website and Discovery+

For viewers in the United States, the event will be shown live on ESPN+ and you can sign up for access as part of a Disney Bundle here!

CARLOS DIEGO FERREIRA VS MATEUSZ REBECKI LOWDOWN

Carlos Diego Ferreira (18-5) took some much-needed time off in 2022 recovering from injuries and two knockout losses. After Beneil Dariush (2021) snapped an impressive six-fight win streak with a split decision, Gregor Gillespie (2021) and Mateusz Gamrot (2021) tenderized him to complete a three-fight skid. He returned a year ago to fight Michael Johnson and pulled off one of the cleanest knockouts you will see.

Mateusz Rebecki (19-1) is riding a staggering 16-fight win streak. Unfortunately, this is the first time we have seen him this year after getting all three of his UFC fights in 2023. He cruised past Nick Fiore on debut and then TKO’d Loik Radzhabov at UFC on ABC 5. He then ruthlessly submitted Roosevelt Roberts in the first round at UFC 295.

CARLOS DIEGO FERREIRA VS MATEUSZ REBECKI PREDICTION

Ferreira is hoping another long layoff will produce an immaculate performance. That is what will be needed against Rebecki who has not lost in nearly a decade. That is mainly thanks to his suffocating wrestling.

He is a chunky powerhouse with the technique to match. His cardio is the only question mark, but he has usually won enough rounds with his dominance before he gets tired.
What makes this interesting is that Ferreira has exceptional jiu-jitsu and will threaten the submission off his back. His striking also continues to improve and he will back himself to find the knockout on the feet.

However, Rebecki will not give him that opportunity as he will suffocate him from the bell. He will enforce a relentless pace and is fully expected to take the Brazilian down. He will aggressively hunt the finish with ground-and-pound and submission attempts, but we can see this lasting three rounds.

Prediction: Rebecki via Decision

Value bet: Rebecki via KO/TKO

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