Italy vs Mexico Preview & Prediction | 2026 World Baseball Classic | Pool Stage

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Assuming Italy lose against the USA, this match between them and Mexico becomes an elimination game with the winner moving on to the next round and the loser going home.

Kick-off date/time:

How to watch on TV: UK – Not televised / USA – Not televised / USA – Netflix

How to watch online: UK – Cannot be streamed / USA – Tubi / USA – Netflix

Italy vs Mexico prediction

Whilst Italy are coming off the back of their most recent Pool B contest with USA less than 24 hours ago, Mexico have had a day off and the chance of reflect on their efforts against the tournament favourites. Despite Jarren Duran’s two-homer-night, the Mexicans fell short on Monday evening in Houston, as a five-run third inning propelled USA to a 5-3 victory. However, it’s worth noting Mexico’s offensive potency later in games over the course of this pool stage so far. They’ve scored 14 runs from the sixth inning onwards, including seven against Great Britain and all three of their runs vs Team USA.

Italy have proven their worth during the tournament, staking their claim as the best European nation in the competition. They’ve scored at least seven runs on two occasions and their pitching staff is sneakily strong and deep in terms of personnel. However, to get the better of a rested Mexico staff, boosted by what will be a very partisan crowd at Daikin Park may wind up a step too far for the Italians, so it’s worth backing Mexico to bounce back at the first time of asking.

Italy vs Mexico tip: Mexico to win