UFC 323: Terrance McKinney vs Chris Duncan Preview & Prediction
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Finishing instincts meet Scottish grit as American knockout artist Terrance McKinney takes on Scotland’s Chris Duncan in an explosive lightweight clash.
Terrance McKinney vs Chris Duncan facts
What time are Terrance McKinney and Chris Duncan expected to walk out?
Where is UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs Yan 2? T-Mobile Arena, Paradise, USA
Where can I get tickets for UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs Yan 2? Click here for the latest ticket information for UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs Yan 2
What TV channel is UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs Yan 2 on? UK – TNT Sports / USA – ESPN+
Where can I stream UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs Yan 2? UK – TNT Sports subscribers can stream the event online via the TNT Sports website and discovery+ / USA – ESPN+ & UFC Fight Pass
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs Yan 2 main card
Merab Dvalishvili vs Petr Yan (Bantamweight)
Alexandre Pantoja vs Joshua Van (Flyweight)
Brandon Moreno vs Tatsuro Taira (Flyweight)
Henry Cejudo vs Payton Talbott (Bantamweight)
Jan Błachowicz vs Bogdan Guskov (Light Heavyweight)
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs Yan 2 prelims
Grant Dawson vs Manuel Torres (Lightweight)
Terrance McKinney vs Chris Duncan (Lightweight)
Maycee Barber vs Karine Silva (Women’s Flyweight)
Nazim Sadykhov vs Fares Ziam (Lightweight)
Marvin Vettori vs Brunno Ferreira (Middleweight)
Edson Barboza vs Jalin Turner (Lightweight)
Iwo Baraniewski vs Ibo Aslan (Light Heavyweight)
Mansur Abdul-Malik vs Antonio Trocoli (Middleweight)
Muhammad Naimov vs Mairon Santos (Featherweight)
Terrance McKinney: Lightning-fast American finisher with devastating power but lingering durability concerns
Terrance “T. Wrecks” McKinney (16-7-0) returns to action as one of the most dangerous first-round fighters in the lightweight division. Known for his blistering starts and fight-ending power, McKinney has secured an extraordinary fourteen finishes across his sixteen victories, with the majority coming within the opening minutes. His UFC debut set the tone, stopping Matt Frevola in just seven seconds, and he has continued that early-round threat with submission wins over Fares Ziam and Manuel Torres. Alongside his explosive striking, McKinney possesses a strong wrestling background which allows him to threaten both on the feet and on the mat.
However, the weaknesses in his game have become evident whenever fights extend beyond the opening round. McKinney’s cardio has repeatedly failed him in longer bouts, contributing to losses against Drew Dober, Ismael Bonfim and Nassourdine Imavov. More recently, he picked up a much-needed win over Esteban Ribovics but followed it with another setback, losing to Mike Davis via second-round stoppage. His style remains thrilling and dangerous, but the pattern is well established. McKinney is at his most lethal early, but when opponents survive the initial onslaught, his defence, gas tank and composure begin to unravel.
Chris Duncan: Scotland’s composed, well-rounded competitor aiming to break through with smart pressure and durability
Chris “The Problem” Duncan (12-2-0) enters this bout with growing confidence and a style perfectly suited to the chaos McKinney brings. A strong, well-rounded fighter with a background in boxing and solid defensive wrestling, Duncan has shown the ability to stay composed under fire and build his performances across rounds. His UFC run includes wins over Omar Morales and Charlie Campbell, where his pressure, power and resilience allowed him to take control after early adversity. Duncan fights with a measured pace, picking his shots well and dragging opponents into longer, more physical exchanges where his toughness shines.
Duncan’s only UFC setback came against Manuel Torres, who caught him early with a counter elbow. Aside from that singular moment, Duncan has demonstrated durability and excellent recovery skills. He rebounded impressively in his most recent bout, defeating Yanal Ashmoz with a well-rounded display that showcased both his power and his ability to dictate tempo. His combination of physical strength, defensive awareness and steady cardio provides the ideal foil for a fighter like McKinney, whose bursts fade quickly when opponents refuse to crumble early.
Terrance McKinney vs Chris Duncan prediction
This matchup offers a classic dynamic. McKinney is at his most threatening in the first five minutes, capable of ending the fight instantly with one clean shot or a rapid submission transition. Duncan’s challenge is to survive that danger zone. If he does, the fight begins to swing heavily in his favour. The Scottish lightweight has shown he can absorb early pressure, stay composed and grow in confidence as the bout progresses, while McKinney has repeatedly shown that his performance drops dramatically once opponents endure the initial storm.
Duncan’s durability, improved defensive wrestling and measured striking approach position him well to exploit McKinney’s cardio issues. As long as he avoids getting clipped early or overwhelmed in the first scramble, Duncan should be able to push McKinney backwards, force prolonged exchanges and steadily wear him down. Once the fight reaches the second round, Duncan’s advantages in stamina, composure and physicality become increasingly decisive.
Prediction: Chris Duncan to win inside the distance
