Luxembourg vs Estonia Preview & Prediction | 2026-27 UEFA Nations League | League C

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Unbeaten Estonia travel to Luxembourg, who can draw level on points with their opponents by beating them in this penultimate round of games.

Kick-off date/time: 13 November 2026 at 7:45 pm

How to watch on TV: UK – Not televised / USA – FOX Sports

How to watch online: UK – Not televised / USA – FOX Sports streaming platforms

Key stats

• Estonia won the only previous Nations League meeting between the sides, 1-0 in Tallinn on Matchday 3 of this edition.
• Coming into Matchday 5, Estonia are second in Group C4 with six points, two behind leaders Iceland, while Luxembourg are bottom with three points, one behind Bulgaria.
• Luxembourg have lost their last three Nations League matches without scoring, conceding six goals.
• Luxembourg's 0-3 home defeat by Iceland on Matchday 2 is their heaviest in 30 Nations League matches.
• Luxembourg have a better Nations League record away (W7 D3 L4) than at home (W5 D3 L7).
• Luxembourg are winless on Matchday 5 in four Nations League league phases (D1 L3).
• Luxembourg finished bottom of Group C3 in 2024/25 but beat Malta 2-0 away and 3-0 at home in the play-offs.
• Estonia are unbeaten in four matches in this edition (W1 D3) and have conceded only once.
• Estonia have kept three consecutive clean sheets, their longest such run in 28 Nations League matches.
• Estonia have not won away in the Nations League since a 4-0 win in San Marino on 26 September 2022 – their biggest win in 28 Nations League matches – a run of five away matches (D3 L2).
• Danel Sinani has scored ten goals in 26 Nations League appearances, the most of any Luxembourg player.
• Rauno Sappinen has scored six goals in 13 Nations League appearances, the most of any Estonia player.

Luxembourg vs Estonia prediction

Since beating Bulgaria in the opening round of fixtures, Luxembourg have struggled badly, losing their following three games without scoring a single goal. One of those defeats came against Estonia, who won 1-0 in Tallinn last month thanks to a winning goal from captain Rasmus Peetson. While Estonia have won only one of their four matches, they remain unbeaten and sit second, just two points behind table-toppers Iceland.

Given how poor Luxembourg have been in attack, it's hard to see them breaching an extremely strong Estonian backline and if the visitors find the net at any point here, their chances of victory will be very high. That makes them well worth backing, albeit through the draw no bet market for extra security.

Luxembourg vs Estonia tip: Estonia draw no bet