Italy vs France Preview & Prediction | 2026-27 UEFA Nations League | League A

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The world famous San Siro in Milan serves as a perfect backdrop for this clash between Italy and France, two of Europe's most famous footballing heavyweights.

Kick-off date/time: 12 November 2026 at 7:45 pm

How to watch on TV: UK – Amazon Prime Video / USA – FOX Sports

How to watch online: UK – Amazon Prime Video / USA – FOX Sports streaming platforms

Key stats

• Italy and France have met three times in the Nations League (W1 D1 L1 from Italy's perspective), with the aggregate score 5-5.
• Each side has won on the other's soil: Italy won 3-1 in Paris in September 2024 and France won 3-1 in Milan in November 2024, before a 1-1 draw at Saint-Denis on Matchday 3 of this edition.
• Coming into Matchday 5, France lead Group A1 on ten points, three ahead of second-placed Italy, so a home win would take Italy level on points with the leaders.
• France are unbeaten in five Nations League matches (W4 D1) and have won their last three away Nations League games without conceding (2-0 vs Germany in the 2025 third-place match, 1-0 in Turkiye and 1-0 in Belgium).
• Italy have conceded in each of their last seven Nations League matches, their longest such run in 32 Nations League matches.
• Italy have won only six of their 16 home Nations League matches (D6 L4), compared with eight wins from 14 away (D4 L2).
• Italy are unbeaten on Matchday 5 across four Nations League editions (W3 D1) and have kept a clean sheet in all four, scoring four goals and conceding none.
• France have scored 53 goals in 32 Nations League matches (1.66 per game) and have conceded only two in four matches this edition.
• France won the 2020/21 Nations League, beating Spain 2-1 in the final in Milan, and finished third in 2024/25 after a 2-0 win over Germany in the third-place match.
• Italy have finished third twice in the Nations League, winning the third-place match in 2020/21 (2-1 vs Belgium) and 2022/23 (3-2 vs the Netherlands).
• Kylian Mbappe has scored ten goals in 22 Nations League appearances, the most by a France player.
• Davide Frattesi has scored five goals in 18 Nations League appearances, the most by an Italy player.

Italy vs France prediction

Depending on the outcome of Belgium's game against Turkiye earlier in the evening, there is a strong chance Italy could be kicking off this game sat third-place in Group A1, which ramps up the pressure from their perspective.

France, meanwhile, know that victory in Milan guarantees them a place in the quarter-finals. However, they'll be made to work extremely hard for it against the Azzurri, who came away from the reverse fixture in Paris with a 1-1 draw. Since that result, France have gone on to thrash Belgium 4-1, and head coach Zinedine Zidane will be hoping his side can replicate that performance against the Italians.

One man who could make all the difference for Les Bleus is Michael Olise. The Bayern Munich attacker was in sensational form across the last international break, racking up four goals and two assists in four Nations League games, including France's only goal against Italy.

Given his ability to shoot from distance as well as getting into dangerous positions inside the opposition penalty area, it's worth backing Olise to get on the scoresheet once again in this latest contest, regardless of the final score.

Italy vs France tip: Michael Olise to score anytime