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Montenegro vs Latvia Preview & Prediction | 2026-27 UEFA Nations League | League C

by Alex Sarwar ·
Montenegro vs Latvia Preview & Prediction | 2026-27 UEFA Nations League | League C

Click here for today’s sports betting tips from our expert analysts!

A likely mismatch in Group C2 sees top of the table Montenegro host rock-bottom Latvia.

Kick-off date/time:

How to watch on TV: UK – Not televised / USA – FOX Sports

How to watch online: UK – Not televised / USA – FOX Sports streaming platforms

Key stats

  • Montenegro won the only previous Nations League meeting, 2-1 in Riga on Matchday 3 of this edition (2 October 2026).
  • Coming into Matchday 5, Montenegro lead Group C2 on ten points, three clear of Cyprus, while Latvia are bottom with one point.
  • Montenegro are unbeaten in five Nations League matches (W4 D1), their longest unbeaten run in 28 Nations League games.
  • Montenegro have never won on Matchday 5 in four Nations League editions (D1 L3), scoring once in those games.
  • Montenegro are unbeaten in three home Nations League matches (W2 D1), starting with a 3-1 win over Turkiye in Niksic in November 2024.
  • Montenegro's best Nations League campaign came in 2020/21, when they topped Group C1 with 13 points (W4 D1 L1).
  • Montenegro have conceded 27 goals in 28 Nations League matches (0.96 per game), keeping ten clean sheets.
  • Latvia are winless in four matches this edition (D1 L3), scoring two goals.
  • Latvia have lost both away matches this edition, 2-0 in Armenia and 2-1 in Cyprus.
  • Latvia have drawn 11 of their 30 Nations League matches (W8 L11).
  • Latvia kept their League C place by beating Gibraltar 1-0 in both legs of the 2024/25 play-offs.
  • Stefan Mugosa has scored eight goals in 17 Nations League appearances, the most by a Montenegro player.

Will both teams score in this match?

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Montenegro vs Latvia prediction

A whopping nine points separates these two nations in their group, with Montenegro on the verge of promotion to League B and Latvia already out of contention. Across four rounds of fixtures, Montenegro are yet to lose, winning three and drawing one. Latvia, on the otherhand, have lost three of four games, with their only point coming in a goalless draw against Cyprus.

It's worth noting that despite their rotten campaign, Latvia haven't conceded many goals, only two more than their opponents here. However, Montenegro boast an attack with far more potency and cutting edge. That extra class should tell over the course of 90 minutes. 

There's no doubt the hosts are big favourites, and as long as they keep their composure and treat the visitors with respect, the outcome will surely be three more points for Montenegro.

Montenegro vs Latvia tip: Montenegro to win with -1 handicap

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