Moldova vs Kazakhstan Preview & Prediction | 2026-27 UEFA Nations League | League C

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While currently the bottom two in Group C3, both Moldova and Kazakhstan are still in the hunt heading into this penultimate round of games.

Kick-off date/time: 13 November 2026 at 5:00 pm

How to watch on TV: UK – Not televised / USA – FOX Sports

How to watch online: UK – Not televised / USA – FOX Sports streaming platforms

Key stats

• Moldova have won two of their three Nations League meetings with Kazakhstan (L1), with both wins coming away from home: 1-0 in Nur-Sultan in the 2020/21 play-outs and 2-1 in Astana on Matchday 3 of this edition.
• Kazakhstan's only Nations League win over Moldova came in Chisinau, 2-1 in the first leg of the 2020/21 play-outs on 24 March 2022 – the only previous meeting between the sides in Moldova.
• Coming into Matchday 5, Moldova are level on four points with the Faroe Islands in Group C3, six points behind leaders Slovakia, while Kazakhstan are bottom with two points.
• Kazakhstan are winless in 11 Nations League matches (D3 L8), the longest winless run in their 30 Nations League matches; their last win was 2-1 at home to Belarus on 22 September 2022.
• Kazakhstan have not won away in the Nations League since a 1-0 win in Slovakia on 6 June 2022, a run of six away matches (D1 L5).
• Kazakhstan have scored in all four of their matches in this edition, having failed to score in any of their six League B matches in 2024/25.
• Moldova's 0-4 home defeat by Slovakia on Matchday 4 equalled their heaviest defeat in 28 Nations League matches, matching 0-4 losses to Luxembourg in 2018 and Slovenia in 2020.
• Moldova have not won at home in the Nations League since a 2-0 win over Andorra on 10 October 2024 (D1 L1 since).
• Moldova have lost only one of their four Nations League matches on Matchday 5 of the league phase (W3 D0 L1), while Kazakhstan's Matchday 5 record is W1 D1 L2.
• Moldova's Nations League record is an even W11 D6 L11 in 28 matches, but they have scored only 25 goals, an average of 0.89 per game.
• Ion Nicolaescu has scored seven goals in 18 Nations League appearances, more than twice as many as any other Moldova player.
• Abat Aimbetov has scored five goals in 18 Nations League appearances, the most of any Kazakhstan player.

Moldova vs Kazakhstan prediction

The last time these two sides collided back in early October, it was Moldova who defeated Kazakhstan by two goals to one in Astana. Nicky Clescenco opened the scoring before Petru Popescu doubled Moldova’s lead. Nuraly Alip pulled one back for Kazakhstan, but Moldova held on for what has so far been their only win of this group stage.

There is little to choose between these two sides, though, and Kazakhstan will feel confident of a more positive result this time around. Recent games involving either nation have typically been high-scoring affairs. Each of Kazakhstan’s last three games has seen over 2.5 goals, and the same can be said of Moldova’s last two. 

With that in mind, back the same outcome to occur between the pair over the course of 90 minutes, regardless of who comes out on top.

Moldova vs Kazakhstan tip: Over 2.5 goals