November 17, 2023 4:36 PM
Last modified date: November 20, 2023 11:33 AM
Adam Evans

Jannik Sinner vs Daniil Medvedev Betting Preview & Prediction | 2023 ATP Finals | Group Stage

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THE FACTS

When is Jannik Sinner vs Daniil Medvedev on and what time does it start? Jannik Sinner vs Daniil Medvedev will take place on Saturday 18th November, 2023 – 13:30 (UK)

Where is Jannik Sinner vs Daniil Medvedev taking place? Jannik Sinner vs Daniil Medvedev will take place at Pala Alpitour in Turin, Italy

What surface is Jannik Sinner vs Daniil Medvedev being played on? Jannik Sinner vs Daniil Medvedev will take place on an indoor hard court

Where can I get tickets for Jannik Sinner vs Daniil Medvedev? Click here for the latest ticket information for Jannik Sinner vs Daniil Medvedev

What channel is Jannik Sinner vs Daniil Medvedev on in the UK? Jannik Sinner vs Daniil Medvedev will be televised live on the Amazon Prime Video app on Smart TVs

Where can I stream Jannik Sinner vs Daniil Medvedev in the UK? Amazon Prime subscribers can stream Jannik Sinner vs Daniil Medvedev live on the Prime Video app

THE LOWDOWN

World number four Jannik Sinner performed admirably to avoid a defeat to a fierce Holger Rune on Friday, despite already being through to the semi-finals. The 21-year-old is the only player amongst the top four, all of whom have made the last four here, to win all three of his group stage matches and that is testament to his mettle beyond his years as much as his ever-improving game on court. Sinner beat world number one Novak Djokovic for the first time on Tuesday to confirm his place in the semi-finals on his full ATP Finals debut and his experience coming in as alternate for Matteo Berrettini here two years ago looks to have fuelled the fire for his exploits in Turin, where he has been celebrated as a hero all week.

World number three Daniil Medvedev beat Andrey Rublev and Alexander Zverev in impressive fashion this week, confirming his place in the last four before facing Carlos Alcaraz on Friday. The 27-year-old won a further five ATP titles this season to bring his career total up to 20 and he took two of those trophies at Jannik Sinner’s expense in Rotterdam and Miami to go 6-0 up in their head-to-head before Sinner pegged him back 6-2 with vengeful victories in Beijing and Vienna. Medvedev finished runner-up to Djokovic at the US Open in September, two years on from that famous victory over the Serb to claim his maiden Grand Slam title.

THE PREDICTION

We may never know the full truth, although anything is possible with the outspoken Russian, but Daniil Medvedev is well within his rights to be content with coming in second in his group, thus avoiding a semi-final clash with Novak Djokovic, and that potential discrepancy makes his defeat to Alcaraz in straight sets far less important than it looks on paper. Medvedev is certainly the sort to conserve his energy in a match he does not need to win and that should see him as fresh as Sinner in this enticing clash on Saturday after the Italian was forced to play three gruelling sets with Holger Rune on Thursday night. Luckily for Sinner, the 21-year-old will enjoy a partisan atmosphere like few others in Turin and whilst Medvedev claims to be fuelled by playing the villain he only recently reacted poorly to jeers in Paris as he crashed out against Grigor Dimitrov.

Medvedev leads their head-to-head 6-2 after claiming their first two encounters this season but the pair looked to have seesawed in form either side of the grass swing, with Sinner’s two recent wins looking like huge momentum in this clash. Home advantage inordinately favours the Italian and he has earned at least a set from five of their eight encounters. That makes backing Sinner to earn at least a set the sensible way to avoid a full result and taking him to edge this likely thriller the reasonable risk.

BETTING TIP: JANNIK SINNER TO WIN A SET

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