Iceland vs Luxembourg Preview & Prediction | 2026-27 UEFA Nations League | League C
by Alex Lawes ·
Click here for today’s sports betting tips from our expert analysts!
Iceland should secure top spot in League C Group 4 of the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League as they welcome Luxembourg to Reykjavik on Monday.
Kick-off date/time:
How to watch on TV: UK – Not televised / USA – FOX Sports
How to watch online: UK – Cannot be streamed / USA – FOX Sports streaming platforms
Key stats
- Iceland won the only previous Nations League meeting 3-0 in Luxembourg on Matchday 2 of this edition (29 September 2026).
- Coming into Matchday 6, Iceland lead Group C4 on 11 points, two ahead of Estonia, with Bulgaria third on four points and Luxembourg bottom on three.
- A win would guarantee Iceland top spot, and a draw would also be enough unless Estonia beat Bulgaria by ten goals or more, or by exactly nine while scoring more goals in their match than Iceland do in theirs – the head-to-head between Iceland and Estonia is level (1-1 and 0-0), and Iceland have a nine-goal advantage on overall goal difference.
- Iceland are already guaranteed at least second place.
- Luxembourg can only finish third by beating Iceland while Bulgaria fail to beat Estonia; if level on points, Bulgaria would finish above them on head-to-head (Luxembourg won 2-1 in Plovdiv, Bulgaria won 2-0 in Luxembourg).
- Iceland went their first 14 Nations League matches without a win (D4 L10), but their three wins this edition are already their most in a single Nations League campaign.
- Iceland have conceded only one goal in five matches this edition and have kept four successive clean sheets, their longest run in 27 Nations League games.
- Iceland's 5-0 win over Bulgaria on Matchday 5 is their biggest Nations League victory, and their 12 goals this edition already match their total from eight matches in 2024/25.
- Iceland have never won on Matchday 6 in the Nations League (D1 L2 in three games).
- Luxembourg have lost their last four Nations League matches without scoring – both their longest such runs in 31 Nations League games – and have two goals in five matches this edition.
- Luxembourg have a better Nations League record away than at home: W7 D4 L4 on the road compared with W5 D3 L8 at home, and they are unbeaten on Matchday 6 across four editions (W1 D3).
- Orri Óskarsson has scored eight goals in 12 Nations League appearances, the most by an Iceland player, while Danel Sinani has scored ten goals in 26 Nations League appearances, the most by a Luxembourg player.
Iceland vs Luxembourg prediction
Heading into the final match day of the group, Iceland are sitting in pole position at the top of their League C group but a defeat would allow Estonia the opportunity to overcome them should the Baltic outfit defeat Bulgaria.
With an exciting and young squad, Iceland have won three and drawn two of their five matches in the group, with Blackburn Rovers striker Andri Gudjohnsen notching a hat-trick in a 5-0 demolition of Bulgaria the other day.
Luxembourg have now endured a four-match losing streak with a comfortable Icelandic victory to be expected for this one.
Iceland vs Luxembourg tip: Iceland to win -1 handicap
