Belgium vs Italy Preview & Prediction | 2026-27 UEFA Nations League | League A
by Alex Lawes ·
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A huge game in the bid to reach the quarter-finals of the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League, Belgium face four-time world champions Italy on Sunday.
Kick-off date/time:
How to watch on TV: UK – Not televised / USA – FOX Sports
How to watch online: UK – Amazon Prime PPV / USA – FOX Sports streaming platforms
Key stats
- Coming into Matchday 6, Italy are level on ten points with France in Group A1, with Belgium one point behind on nine.
- A win would guarantee Italy top spot, as they hold the head-to-head advantage over France (W1 D1); a draw would also be enough if France fail to beat Türkiye.
- Belgium can finish top only by winning and France failing to beat Türkiye; a Belgium win combined with a France win would leave Belgium second, and Belgium will finish third if they do not win.
- Italy would drop to third if they lose and France avoid defeat against Türkiye.
- This is the fifth Nations League meeting between the sides: Belgium are W1 D1 L2 with an aggregate score of 5-5, their only win coming 2-0 in Rome on Matchday 1 of this edition.
- Italy beat Belgium 2-1 in the 2020/21 third-place match in Turin and won 1-0 in Brussels in November 2024.
- Belgium have never drawn a Nations League home match, winning ten and losing four of their 14.
- Italy are unbeaten in seven Nations League away matches (W5 D2) since a 5-2 defeat by Germany in June 2022.
- Italy have scored 11 goals in this edition, the most in Group A1, but have conceded in each of their last eight Nations League matches.
- Belgium have lost three of their four Matchday 6 league-phase matches in the Nations League (W1), while Italy are W2 L1 on Matchday 6.
- Italy topped Group A1 in 2020/21 with 12 points and Group A3 in 2022/23 with 11 points; Belgium topped Group A2 in 2020/21 with 15 points.
- Romelu Lukaku has scored 14 goals in 15 Nations League appearances, the most for Belgium in the competition.
Belgium vs Italy prediction
In League A Group 1 of the UEFA Nations League, Italy and France sit level on points in first and second on ten points with Belgium in behind on nine points. A Belgian victory would push them into the top two ahead of the Italians but Italy could still qualify in that scenario should France succumb to defeat to Turkiye in Bordeaux.
Belgium came from behind to defeat Turkiye by two goals to one the other day with goals from Kevin De Bruyne and Charles De Ketelaere, while Italy impressively defeated France by three goals to one at San Siro in Milan with Internazionale striker Francesco Pio Esposito notching a brace.
The Azzurri have been showing signs of promise and improvement since the return of Roberto Mancini and both teams scoring would be a good bet here as the two sides bid for quarter-final qualification.
Belgium vs Italy tip: Both teams to score
