Finland vs San Marino Preview & Prediction | 2026-27 UEFA Nations League | League C
by Alex Lawes ·
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Seeking to finish off their UEFA Nations League league phase campaign with a flourish, Finland come up against San Marino in Helsinki on Sunday.
Kick-off date/time:
How to watch on TV: UK – Not televised / USA – FOX Sports
How to watch online: UK – Cannot be streamed / USA – FOX Sports streaming platforms
Key stats
- Finland are certain to finish third in Group C1 coming into Matchday 6: they can reach ten points, but Belarus already have ten and won the head-to-head (0-0 in Helsinki, 1-0 in Budapest), while San Marino cannot catch them.
- San Marino will finish fourth: they are the only League C team without a point in this edition, having lost all five matches, scoring once and conceding 18.
- Finland won the reverse fixture 7-0 in Serravalle on Matchday 1 – their biggest win in 29 Nations League matches, and San Marino's heaviest defeat in 23.
- San Marino have lost five Nations League matches in a row and have conceded in each of their last eight.
- San Marino have failed to score in 19 of their 23 Nations League matches; their only goal in this edition came in a 2-1 defeat in Tirana.
- Both of San Marino's Nations League wins came against Liechtenstein in 2024/25 – 1-0 at home and 3-1 in Vaduz, the latter their biggest Nations League victory – as they topped Group D1 with seven points.
- Finland have lost their last two Nations League matches without scoring, 1-0 away to Belarus and 2-0 in Albania.
- Finland are unbeaten at home in this edition (W1 D1) and have won seven of their 14 Nations League home matches (D3 L4), compared with five wins from 15 away (L10).
- Finland have twice taken 12 points in a Nations League league phase, in 2018/19 (when they topped Group C2) and 2020/21, but lost all six matches in Group B2 in 2024/25.
- Finland have lost three of their four Matchday 6 league-phase matches in the Nations League (W1), the win coming 2-0 in Montenegro in 2022/23.
- Teemu Pukki has scored eight goals in 23 Nations League appearances, the most for Finland in the competition.
Finland vs San Marino prediction
Finland have been left frustrated in the UEFA Nations League, sitting third in Group 1 of League C and unable to go ahead of Belarus in second due to an inferior head-to-head record. They were beaten 2-0 by Albania in Tirana the other day.
Following their surprise promotion to League C in the 2024-25 UEFA Nations League campaign, San Marino have predictably struggled with five defeats from five in the league phase in which they have conceded 18 goals.
San Marino have continued to be more competitive than they once were but remain much the weakest team in League C and a comfortable Finnish victory is to be expected.
Finland vs San Marino tip: Finland to win -2 handicap
