Estonia vs Bulgaria Preview & Prediction | 2026-27 UEFA Nations League | League C
by Alex Lawes ·
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Estonia are battling for spot in automatic promotion to League B of the UEFA Nations League as they welcome Bulgaria to Tallinn on Monday.
Kick-off date/time:
How to watch on TV: UK – Not televised / USA – FOX Sports
How to watch online: UK – Cannot be streamed / USA – FOX Sports streaming platforms
Key stats
- The only previous Nations League meeting between the sides finished 0-0 in Plovdiv on Matchday 2 of this edition (29 September 2026).
- Coming into Matchday 6, Estonia are second in Group C4 on nine points, two behind leaders Iceland, while Bulgaria are third on four points, one ahead of Luxembourg.
- Estonia are guaranteed at least second place and can only finish top by beating Bulgaria while Iceland fail to beat Luxembourg; if Iceland draw, Estonia would also need to win by ten goals or more (or by exactly nine while scoring more goals in their match than Iceland do in theirs), as the head-to-head with Iceland is level (1-1 and 0-0) and Iceland lead by nine on overall goal difference.
- A win would guarantee Bulgaria third place, and they will also finish third if Luxembourg fail to beat Iceland, as Bulgaria hold the head-to-head advantage over Luxembourg (3-2 on aggregate across two meetings this edition).
- Estonia are unbeaten in five Nations League matches (W2 D3) and have kept four successive clean sheets – both their longest runs in 29 Nations League games.
- Estonia have scored only three goals in five matches this edition but have conceded just one, in a 1-1 draw in Iceland on Matchday 1.
- Estonia have failed to score in 16 of their 29 Nations League matches.
- Estonia's best Nations League campaign came in 2022/23, when they won all four of their matches to top Group D2.
- Bulgaria's 5-0 defeat by Iceland on Matchday 5 equalled their heaviest in 31 Nations League matches, alongside a 5-0 loss in Northern Ireland in October 2024.
- Bulgaria have conceded ten goals in five matches this edition, already their most in a Nations League league phase (previous high eight in 2022/23).
- Bulgaria are unbeaten on Matchday 6 across four Nations League editions (W1 D3), while Estonia's Matchday 6 record is W2 D1 L1.
- Rauno Sappinen has scored six goals in 13 Nations League appearances, the most by an Estonia player, while Kiril Despodov has scored five goals in 18 Nations League appearances, the most by a Bulgaria player.
Estonia vs Bulgaria prediction
Going into the final match day of League C Group 4 of the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League, Iceland sit at the top of the group with 11 points from their five matches as they sit a couple of points above the Estonians, five clear of third place Bulgaria.
Estonia edged past Luxembourg by a goal to nil in their most recent outing, extending their unbeaten run of form to seven matches with just one loss in their last ten games. Bulgaria have continued to regress with just one win in their five league phase matches.
The Eastern Europeans have been regressing for a while and Estonia should ease past them and put the pressure on Iceland at the top of their group.
Estonia vs Bulgaria tip: Estonia to win
