Germany vs Netherlands Preview & Prediction | 2026-27 UEFA Nations League | League A
by Alex Lawes ·
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Germany head into a must win game with a bit of jeopardy riding on it as Jurgen Klopp’s four-time world champions take on rivals the Netherlands.
Kick-off date/time:
How to watch on TV: UK – Not televised / USA – FOX Sports
How to watch online: UK – Amazon Prime PPV / USA – FOX Sports streaming platforms
Key stats
- Germany and the Netherlands have met five times in the Nations League, with three draws and one win apiece (W1 D3 L1 from Germany's point of view).
- Germany's only Nations League win over the Netherlands was 1-0 in Munich on 14 October 2024, while the Netherlands' only win was 3-0 in Amsterdam on 13 October 2018.
- The sides drew 1-1 in Amsterdam on Matchday 1 of this edition, and have met on Matchday 6 once before, drawing 2-2 in Gelsenkirchen in 2018; there have been 14 goals in their five Nations League meetings, an average of 2.80 per game.
- Coming into Matchday 6, the Netherlands lead Group A2 with 11 points, three ahead of Germany and Greece, who are level on eight points.
- A draw would be enough for the Netherlands to finish top; if Germany win, they will finish top on head-to-head unless Greece also beat Serbia, in which case all three teams would be level on 11 points and on five head-to-head points each, and the Netherlands would still finish top on the head-to-head tie-breakers unless Germany win by five goals or more.
- Germany need to beat the Netherlands to be sure of finishing above Greece, who hold the head-to-head advantage over them; a draw would be enough for second only if Greece lose to Serbia.
- The Netherlands' 7-0 win over Greece on Friday was their biggest in 33 Nations League matches and equalled the largest winning margin in 784 Nations League matches, shared with Germany's 7-0 win over Bosnia and Herzegovina in 2024 and, in this edition, England's 7-0 win over Croatia and Finland's 7-0 win over San Marino.
- The Netherlands are unbeaten in nine Nations League matches (W4 D5, including two quarter-final draws with Spain in 2025, the second of which they lost on penalties), one short of their longest unbeaten run of ten, between October 2020 and September 2022.
- The Netherlands have scored 14 goals in five matches in this edition, a total bettered only by England (16) and matched only by Spain.
- Germany have never won on Matchday 6 of the Nations League league phase (D3 L1 in four), conceding 12 goals, including a 6-0 defeat in Spain in 2020 – their heaviest in 31 Nations League matches.
- Germany have lost only two of their 14 home Nations League matches (W6 D6), although one of those defeats came in this edition, 1-0 to Greece in Augsburg; they are unbeaten in three matches overall since (W2 D1).
- Memphis Depay has scored eight goals in 17 Nations League appearances, the most of any Netherlands player, while Timo Werner leads Germany's scorers with seven goals in 16 Nations League appearances.
Germany vs Netherlands prediction
Heading into the final match day of this League A group, Germany sit third in behind both the Netherlands and Greece with the Greeks having a superior head-to-head record. However, a German win here would ensure their qualification because a Greek defeat of Serbia puts all three teams on 11 points and the three-team mini-table of the three has Greece at the bottom now on goal difference.
The Germans have been inconsistent at the start of the Klopp era but did dispatch of nine-man Serbia by three goals to one in Belgrade the other day, while Xavi’s Oranje were extremely impressive in their shock 7-0 demolition of Greece in Amsterdam.
It is a bizarre situation whereby a defeat doesn’t hamper the Dutch, albeit they may want to get rid of their arch-rivals Germany before the latter stages and so a fun watch seems likely.
Germany vs Netherlands tip: Over 2.5 goals
