November 22, 2022 2:15 PM
Adam Evans

Germany vs Canada – Quarter-Final – Preview & Prediction | 2022 Davis Cup Finals

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THE FACTS

When is Germany vs Canada on and what time does it start? Germany vs Canada will take place on Thursday 24th November, 2022 – not before 09:00 (UK)

Where is Germany vs Canada taking place? Germany vs Canada will take place at Martin Carpena in Malaga, Spain

What surface is Germany vs Canada being played on? Germany vs Canada will take place on an indoor hard court

Where can I get tickets for Germany vs Canada? Visit this link for the latest ticket information for Germany vs Canada

What channel is Germany vs Canada on in the UK? The Davis Cup Finals will not be televised live in the UK

Where can I stream Germany vs Canada in the UK? Tennis Channel subscribers can stream the Davis Cup Finals

THE LOWDOWN

Germany look the biggest underdogs of the last eight nations at the Davis Cup Finals on paper but in Tim Puets and Kevin Krawietz they have two unbeaten doubles players in this tournament, either as a pair or with other partners. Getting Germany to a doubles decider will be imperative if they are to stand a chance at manoeuvring past a full-strength Canada side. With world number 65 Oscar Otte again standing in for Alexander Zverev as first option here, much if this tie rests on world number 152 Jen-Lennard Struff to continue his odd rivalry with Denis Shapovalov. Struff leads Shapovalov 5-3 in their head-to-head record and he has, remarkably, taken at least a set in each of their eight meetings on tour including an eventual defeat to the Canadian at the ATP Cup this January.

Canada come boasting the highest-ranked player in the draw in 22-year-old Felix Auger-Aliassime, who comes into Malaga at a career-high world number six after recently winning three titles in as many weeks. The youngster beat newly-crowned world number one Carlos Alcaraz in the Davis Cup group stages immediately after the US Open and then again more recently at the Swiss Indoors on the way to his third of three titles. World number 18 Denis Shapovalov found some decent form late this season but a defeat to Yoshihito Nishioka in the final of the Korea Open was another frustrating result by his high ceiling. World number 100 Vasek Pospisil won a Challenger event last weekend for a decent return to form coming inti the Davis Cup Finals, a tournament in which he has consistently exceeded expectations, and it would not be a surprise to see him called upon in a doubles decider as an experienced voice alongside one of the two youngsters.

THE PREDICTION

32-year-old Jan-Lennard Struff’s best days may be behind him but the German is far better than his current ranking of 152nd suggests. World number 18 Denis Shapovalov comes into the Davis Cup Finals in decent form but if Struff can play like he did in the group stages back in September this could be a huge upset in the making. To counteract that, Canada may well sub in Vasek Pospisil here to keep Shapovalov warm for a potential Men’s Doubles decider but realistically it should be the 23-year-old taking on Struff after beating him in three tight sets earlier this year. Felix Auger-Aliassime had a frustrating but not disappointing ATP Finals debut last week in Turin and he should have more than enough to win the second match of the day. That makes this a tricky call, with Canada the clear favourites but Germany possessing the better doubles option. If Canada win the first match they should clean up 2-0 but if Jan-Lennard Struff beats Denis Shapovalov for a ninth time take Germany to win 2-1. The sensible way to lean here without in-play is to take Canada to win outright.

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