Spain vs Italy Preview & Prediction | 2025 UEFA European Under-21 Championship | Group Stage
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Both Spain and Italy are already safely through to the knockout stage and the outcome of this match will determine who wins Group A.
Kick-off date/time:
How to watch on TV: UK – Channel 4 / US – Not televised
How to watch online: UK – Channel 4 / US – Disney+ & ViX
Key stats
- Spain and Italy are the most successful teams in U21 EURO history with five titles each.
- They are meeting for the eighth time in a U21 EURO final match (Spain wins – 3, Italy wins – 2, draws – 2). Their most recent encounter was a 0-0 draw in the 2021 group stage.
- Spain have now qualified from their group in their last seven U21 EURO final tournament participations.
- Spain are aiming to win all three matches in a U21 EURO final tournament group for the third time, having previously achieved the feat in 2013 and 2017.
- Spain have lost only two of their previous 26 U21 EURO group matches (W18 D6). A 1-3 defeat against Italy in 2019 and a 0-2 loss against England in 2009.
- Spain have only failed to score in one of their last 21 U21 EURO group matches.
- Only one of Spain’s last 35 U21 EURO finals matches finished without a goal being scored. That was their 0-0 draw against Italy in the 2021 group stage.
- Italy are aiming to win all three matches in a U21 EURO final tournament group for the first time.
- Italy have lost only two of their last nine U21 EURO final tournament group matches (W5 D2).
- Italy have not conceded a goal in their previous two group matches at the 2025 finals. They have never completed a group stage in the competition without conceding.
- Italy opened the scoring in the first half in their previous two matches at the 2025 finals.
Spain vs Italy prediction
It’s difficult to call what sort of encounter this will be with Spain and Italy both through to the next round. Key for the two head coaches will be ensuring their best players avoid injury and it would be no surprise to see significant rotation on either side. Spain narrowly leads the head-to-head record between the two nations in this tournament, but their attack faces a big challenge to try and overcome the Italian defence who are yet to concede a goal in the group stage.
This is a contest that really could go either way. Alternately it wouldn’t be a shock to see the pair cancel each other out, with a lack of intensity due to the importance of neither team being burnt out or suffering an injury ahead of the knockout stage. When taking this into account, the shrewd move may well be to back a draw.
Spain vs Italy tip: Draw
