New South Wales Blues vs Queensland Maroons Preview & Prediction | 2025 State of Origin

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A thrilling conclusion to the 2025 State of Origin series awaits as New South Wales and Queensland clash in a winner-take-all decider at Accor Stadium.

Start date/time:

How to watch on TV: UK – Sky Sports / Australia – Channel Nine & 9Now / US – Fox Sports

How to watch online: UK – Sky Go / Australia – Channel Nine & 9Now digital platforms / US – Fox Sports digital platforms

New South Wales Blues team news

The Blues have named an unchanged 17, showing faith in the squad from Game 2. The Penrith connection of Nathan Cleary and captain Isaah Yeo will be crucial to their structure, while Payne Haas will be looked upon to lead the charge up front despite hardly training in the lead up to the decider.

Squad: 1. Dylan Edwards 2. Brian To’o 3. Stephen Crichton 4. Latrell Mitchell 5. Zac Lomax 6. Jarome Luai 7. Nathan Cleary 8. Max King 9. Reece Robson 10. Payne Haas 11. Liam Martin 12. Angus Crichton 13. Isaah Yeo © 14. Connor Watson 15. Spencer Leniu 16. Hudson Young 17. Stefano Utoikamanu 18. Jacob Kiraz 19. Lindsay Smith 20. Bradman Best

Queensland Maroons team news

The Maroons have made significant changes. Veteran Canberra Raiders prop Josh Papalii makes a stunning return to the Origin arena, and Brisbane Broncos centre Gehamat Shibasaki will make his debut. Captain Cameron Munster holds the key to unlocking the Blues' defence and he plays with extra motivation after his father passed away on the weekend.

Squad: 1. Hamiso Tabuai-Fidow 2. Xavier Coates 3. Robert Toia 4. Gehamat Shibasaki 5. Valentine Holmes 6. Cameron Munster 7. Tom Dearden 8. Josh Papalii 9. Harry Grant 10. Tino Fa’asuamaleaui 11. Reuben Cotter 12. Kurt Capewell 13. Trent Loiero 14. Kurt Mann 15. Lindsay Collins 16. Patrick Carrigan 17. Jeremiah Nanai 18. Reece Walsh 19. J’maine Hopgood 20. Josh Kerr

New South Wales Blues vs Queensland Maroons prediction

This match is the ultimate test of nerve, with the New South Wales Blues aiming to secure back-to-back series wins on home soil against a Queensland Maroons side fired up by an inspirational comeback and some bold selection calls.

The series is locked at 1-1, setting up a blockbuster decider. The NSW Blues claimed a dominant 18-6 victory in Game 1 in Brisbane but were ambushed in Perth, going down 26-24 after giving Queensland a huge lead and almost running them down late.

The Queensland Maroons bounced back from their opening loss with a resilient victory in Game 2. After a blistering first half, they withstood a fierce Blues comeback to keep the series alive.

Queensland flyer Hamiso Tabuai-Fidow has an incredible strike rate, with 11 tries in his 9 Origin appearances. He moves to his preferred fullback position for the first time in a decider.

NSW winger Brian To'o has been a constant threat, scoring a hat-trick in the Game 2 loss and consistently providing his team with crucial momentum to start their sets.

Since the concept began, Queensland has a clear advantage, winning 24 series to New South Wales' 17. The Blues, however, were victorious in the 2024 series. The Maroons have a formidable record in deciders, winning seven of the last nine.

This is more than just a decider; it's a classic battle between the Blues' structure and talent versus the Maroons' trademark spirit and belief.

New South Wales Blues vs Queensland Maroons tip: New South Wales to win & Brian To’o to score a try