Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz Preview & Prediction | 2026 US Open | Round of 16

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Tommy Paul meets Carlos Alcaraz in the round of 16 at the 2026 US Open at USTA Billie Jean King National Tennis Center, New York, USA

Start date/time: 6 September 2026 at 5:10 pm

Venue: USTA Billie Jean King National Tennis Center, New York, USA

Surface: Outdoor hard

How to watch on TV: UK – Sky Sports Tennis / USA – ESPN

How to watch online: UK – Sky Go / USA – ESPN+

Tickets: Visit this link for the latest Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz ticket information

Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz prediction

Tommy Paul meets Carlos Alcaraz for the ninth time in a match-up many regard as one of the most eye-catching on the ATP Tour.

The American once led the head-to-head 2-1 but Alcaraz has won the last five to suggest he now has a solid blueprint in terms of how to beat the 20th seed.

It is worth noting, however, that Paul’s two wins have come on outdoor hardcourts and he has looked strong at this year’s tournament. Indeed, the feeling is that Paul will provide the biggest test of Alcaraz’s return so far, although the reigning champion has shown no signs of any issues with the wrist problem that kept him out for over four months. 

If anything, that slight doubt might simply serve to aid and galvanise Paul’s belief that he can win and you can expect the 29-year-old to push hard in this one, even if it’s most likely the second seed will come through in the end.

Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz tip: Over 30.5 games