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Tommy Paul vs Cameron Norrie Preview & Prediction | 2025 Indian Wells Open (BNP Paribas Open) | Third Round

by Rob Esteva · March 9 2025, 11:39
Tommy Paul vs Cameron Norrie Preview & Prediction | 2025 Indian Wells Open (BNP Paribas Open) | Third Round

Click here for today’s sports betting tips from our expert analysts! 

Tenth seed Tommy Paul will have high expectations this week in Indian Wells where he reached the semi-finals last year and he faces a tough third-round match against Cam Norrie on Sunday

Ranking points: ATP 1000

Start date/time: Sunday 9th March, 2025: UK – not before 7:00pm / US ET – not before 2:00pm / US PT – not before 11:00am

Venue:  Indian Wells Tennis Garden, Indian Wells, USA

Surface: Outdoor hard

How to watch on TV: UK – Sky Sports Tennis / US – Tennis Channel

How to watch online: UK – Sky Go / US – Tennis Channel

Tickets: Visit this link for the latest Tommy Paul vs Cameron Norrie ticket information

Tommy Paul vs Cameron Norrie Prediction

There were no signs of complacency in Tommy Paul’s game on Friday as he beat Tristran Boyer 6-3 6-1 to progress to the third round. The tenth-seed did what he had to do but he still has levels to go and he will need to step up as he faces Britain’s Cam Norrie in the third round.

Norrie has produced two good performances to beat Luca Nardi 6-0 6-3 and then Jiri Lehecka 3-6 6-4 7-5. The win over Lehecka was particularly impressive for how he won points in key moments as he was up against for some spells of that match. Lehecka will be kicking himself for not taking advantage of the good positions he found himself and he was as much to blame for as good as Norrie played.

Tommy Paul is unlikely to be as forgiving as Lehecka was in that match so Norrie does need to improve. He can take confidence from his record against Paul having beaten him the last three times they have met. Those all came in 2021 and 2022 however and it is fair to say that Paul improved immeasurably since then.

We like Paul to snap that streak and get the win here but we are expecting a closer match than the bookies odds suggest. Expect this to go deep in some sets and potentially even all three.

Tommy Paul vs Cameron Norrie Tip: Over 22.5 total games

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