Parramatta Eels vs Newcastle Knights Preview & Prediction | 2025 NRL | Regular Season

Click here for today’s sports betting tips from our expert analysts!
CommBank Stadium hosts the final game of the regular season, a match with implications at the bottom of the table as the Eels look to continue their late-season surge against a Newcastle side desperate to avoid the wooden spoon.
Start date/time:
How to watch on TV: UK – Sky Sports / Australia – Foxtel / US – Some matches are televised live on Fox Sports
How to watch online: UK – Sky Go & Watch NRL / Australia – Kayo Sports / US – Watch NRL, and if the match is televised in the USA it can also be streamed live on Fox Sports platforms
Parramatta Eels team news
Only one change for the Eels with Dylan Brown selected at five-eighth, replacing Jordan Samrani who goes back to the interchange. Brown hasn’t played at five-eighth for the Eels since Round 19 when they took on the Panthers. Brown then played three straight games at centre between rounds 23 and 25.
Squad: 1. Isaiah Iongi 2. Zac Lomax 3. Viliami Penisini 4. Sean Russell 5. Josh Addo-Carr 6. Dylan Brown 7. Mitchell Moses 8. J’maine Hopgood 9. Ryley Smith 10. Junior Paulo 11. Kelma Tuilagi 12. Jack Williams 13. Dylan Walker 14. Tallyn Da Silva 15. Matt Doorey 16. Charlie Guymer 17. Jordan Samrani 18. Dean Hawkins 19. Dan Keir 20. Toni Mataele 21. Joey Lussick 22. Joash Papali’i
Newcastle Knights team news
In what will be his last game in charge, Head Coach Adam O’Brien has picked an unchanged 17 from the one that lost to the Sharks. But O’Brien may decide to shuffle things around on game day yet again. Fletcher Hunt has been selected at fullback, with Dane Gagai picked at centre, while JakeArthur has been named to play five-eighth. Phoenix Crossland has been picked at hooker while Jayden Brailey is on the bench.
Squad: 1. Fletcher Hunt 2. Dominic Young 3. Dane Gagai 4. Bradman Best 5. Greg Marzhew 6. Jakob Arthur 7. Jack Cogger 8. Jacob Saifiti 9. Phoenix Crossland 10. Leo Thompson 11. Jermaine McEwen 12. Kai Pearce-Paul 13. Tyson Frizell 14. Jayden Brailey 15. Mathew Croker 16. Thomas Cant 17. Elijah Leaumoana 18. James Schiller 19. Cody Hopwood 20. Matthew Arthur 21. Connor Votano 22. Lachlan Crouch
Parramatta Eels vs Newcastle Knights prediction
The Parramatta Eels (12th), though out of finals contention, have become the competition's spoilers. They are in strong form, having won four of their last six games, including impressive victories over finals-bound teams like the Brisbane Broncos and Sydney Roosters. Their latest triumph was a hard-fought 26-22 away win over the New Zealand Warriors in Round 26.
The Newcastle Knights (16th) are in a deep form crisis, having lost eight consecutive matches. Their most recent defeat was a 40-16 loss to the Cronulla Sharks. The match is a must-win for Newcastle; a loss will guarantee them the wooden spoon if the Gold Coast Titans win their match.
Key Stats:
The Knights have not won at CommBank Stadium since 2020. Eels halfback Mitchell Moses has scored four tries in his last three games against the Knights. The Knights have conceded 176 points in their last four games.
Parramatta has completely dominated the recent history, winning nine of the last ten encounters. This includes a commanding 28-6 victory over the Knights in Newcastle in Round 11 of this season.
Newcastle face a daunting task against an in-form Eels side boasting the dangerous halves pairing of Moses and returning Brown. The Knights are weighed down by their losing run and wooden spoon pressure, and while O’Brien’s farewell adds emotion, it’s unlikely to offset Parramatta’s momentum.
Parramatta Eels vs Newcastle Knights tip: Parramatta to win by 13+ points & Mitchell Moses to score a try