September 22, 2023 12:18 PM
Ewan Lavender

MMA Preview – Tim Means vs Andre Fialho at UFC Fight Night 228

Click here for today’s sports betting tips from our expert analysts!


When is UFC Fight Night 228? Saturday 23rd September, 2023 - 22:00 start (UK)

Where is UFC Fight Night 228? UFC APEX, Enterprise, Nevada (US)

Where can I get tickets for UFC Fight Night 228? Click here to buy tickets for UFC Fight Night

What channel is UFC Fight Night 228 on? TNT Sports 3

Where can I stream UFC Fight Night 228? TNT Sports subscribers can stream the fight online via the TNT Sports website and Discovery+

For viewers in the United States, the event will be shown live on ESPN+ and you can sign up for access as part of a Disney Bundle here!


Tim Means (32-15-1(1)) is suffering his worst form since he joined the UFC all the way back in 2012. After outpointing Nicolas Dalby (2021) he got submitted by Kevin Holland (2022), lost a split decision to Max Griffin (2022) and then got submitted again by Alex Morono back in May to knock his UFC record down to 14-12(1).

Andre Fialho (16-7(1)) is also on a three-fight skid. He responded brilliantly to his UFC debut loss to Michel Pereira (2022) by knocking out Miguel Baeza (2022) and Cameron VanCamp (2022) in quick succession. However, he then got knocked out himself by Jake Matthews (2022), Muslim Salikhov (2022) and Joaquin Buckley (2023).


Fialho is tough as nails but there have to be question marks over his chin now. It has been cleaned up three times in a row and although Means does not have one-punch knockout power, he knows how to put people to sleep with 19 knockouts in the books.

He is more well-rounded and has a lot more strings to his bow. Fialho prefers to stick to his boxing and if Means decides to oblige in a striking battle, we will be in for a fun scrap.

Fialho packs more power and it will be a risk for Means to exchange leather for three rounds. Also, considering the damage Fialho’s chin has absorbed, a knockout either way is likely.

That said, if Means plays this smart and mixes in his wrestling, he can dictate where the fight goes. He is slowing down, but it is surprising to see him as the underdog and he has all the tools to get the job done.

Prediction: Means via Decision

Value bet: Means to win

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