September 30, 2022 12:46 PM
Ewan Lavender

MMA Preview – Maxim Grishin vs Philipe Lins at UFC Vegas 61

Click here for today’s sports betting tips from our expert analysts!

MAXIM GRISHIN VS PHILIPE LINS FACTS

When is UFC Fight Night 211? Saturday 1st October, 2022 - 22:00 start (UK)

Where is UFC Fight Night 211? UFC APEX, Enterprise, Nevada (US)

Where can I get tickets for UFC Fight Night 211? Click here to buy tickets for UFC Fight Night

What channel is UFC Fight Night 211 on? BT Sport 1

Where can I stream UFC Fight Night 211? BT Sport subscribers can stream the fight online via the BT Sport website

For viewers in the United States, the event will be shown live on ESPN+ and you can sign up for access as part of a Disney Bundle here!

MAXIM GRISHIN VS PHILIPE LINS LOWDOWN

Maxim Grishin (32-9-2) is coming off a big win making William Knight pay for a big weight miss coming in 13 lbs over the light heavyweight limit. That win came with huge relief as he was 1-2 in the UFC at that point. He lost unanimous decisions to Dustin Jacoby (2021) and Marcin Tybura (2020) which sandwiched a vintage TKO win over Gadzhimurad Antigulov (2020)

Philipe Lins (15-5) is also coming off a much-needed win. After being crowned the PFL heavyweight tournament champion in 2018, he made his UFC debut in 2020 against the legend Andrei Arlovski. He lost a unanimous decision and then got knocked out by Tanner Boser a month later. He did not return for a couple years but dropped back down to light heavyweight and looked much better outpointing Marcin Prachnio.

MAXIM GRISHIN VS PHILIPE LINS PREDICTION

These guys are not getting any younger nearing 40 and are not going to trouble the light heavyweight rankings, but it is better to see them at 205. They match up very similarly physically, but Grishin has the advantage on the feet and Lins has the advantage in the grappling department.

So, if Grishin can create and maintain the space, he will get the better of the Brazilian. He is extremely accurate and possesses devastating leg kicks which he will unleash at any opportunity. This will force Lins to shoot in or at the least clinch up.

He has the ability to subdue Grishin, but the question will be, how long for and how much damage will he absorb beforehand. This is close to call, but we are backing Grishin’s takedown defence and leg kicks to make the difference and sway the judges.

Prediction: Grishin via Decision - CLICK HERE FOR PARIMATCH'S WELCOME OFFER (BET £5, GET £30 IN BONUSES!)

Value Bet: Lins to win

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