The Stats Zone
· Ewan Lavender

MMA Preview – Luana Carolina vs Lupita Godinez at UFC Vegas 40

MMA Preview – Luana Carolina vs Lupita Godinez at UFC Vegas 40

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LUANA CAROLINA VS LUPITA GODINEZ FACTS

When is UFC Vegas 40? Saturday 16th October, 2021 -22:00 start (UK)

Where is UFC Vegas 40? UFC APEX, Enterprise, Nevada (US)

Where can I get tickets for UFC Vegas 40? Click here for the latest ticket information for UFC events

What channel is UFC Vegas 40 on? BT Sport 1

Where can I stream UFC Vegas 40? BT Sport subscribers can stream the fight online via the BT Sport website

For viewers in the United States, the event will be shown live on ESPN+ and you can sign up for access as part of a Disney Bundle here!

LUANA CAROLINA VS LUPITA GODINEZ LOWDOWN

Luana Carolina (7-2) is wondering how she is still on the card. Firstly, she was paired up with Maryna Moroz but the Ukrainian dropped out a couple weeks ago. Sijara Eubanks then filled in but got pulled due to COVID-19 protocol and now she has a third opponent. Carolina has only fought fellow Brazilian’s so far in the UFC including her Contender Series win over Mabelly Lima. She earnt another unanimous decision on her debut against Priscila Cachoeira but got her six-fight win streak violently snapped by an Ariane Lipski kneebar. However, she got back in the win column with a tight split decision over Poliana Botelho back in May.

How game is Lupita Godinez (6-1). She rocked up last week at UFC Vegas 39 and put on her best performance to date, dominating Silvana Gomez Juarez and putting her out of her misery with an armbar. Now, instead of going home to recover, she steps up to flyweight taking a fight on just a few days’ notice. Her debut and split decision loss to Jessica Penne could have gone either way so what better way to respond than two wins in two weeks.

LUANA CAROLINA VS LUPITA GODINEZ PREDICTION

Godinez only fought last week, moves up a weight class and has had no time to prepare, but this will still be a tough fight for Carolina as the Mexican is still on a massive high and has the skill set to threaten Carolina.

The Brazilian is a Muay Thai national champion and boasts a significant size advantage with eight inches in reach and four in height. Godinez can scrap but Carolina should dictate the striking exchanges and will have no problem in finding the chin.

However, her biggest threat is Godinez’s grappling. She doggedly hunts the takedown and forces a crazy pace. She is clearly in fight shape and if she can close the distance, she can exploit the holes in Carolina’s game.

It is somewhat surprising to see Godinez as such a big favourite, but we can certainly see her charge Carolina down, drag her to the mat and even pull off another submission. There is clear value on the Brazilian especially considering her size, but we are predicting Godinez’s momentum to cap off a perfect fortnight.

Prediction: Godinez via Decision - CLICK HERE FOR PARIMATCH'S WELCOME OFFER (BET £5, GET £30 IN BONUSES!)

Value Bet: Carolina via Decision