The Stats Zone
· Ewan Lavender

MMA Preview – Karl Williams vs Lukasz Brzeski at UFC Fight Night 221

MMA Preview – Karl Williams vs Lukasz Brzeski at UFC Fight Night 221

Click here for today’s sports betting tips from our expert analysts!

KARL WILLIAMS VS LUKASZ BRZESKI FACTS

When is UFC Fight Night 221? Saturday 11th March, 2023 - 21:00 start (UK)

Where is UFC Fight Night 221? The Theatre at Virgin Hotels, Enterprise, Nevada (US)

Where can I get tickets for UFC Fight Night 221? Click here to buy tickets for UFC Fight Night

What channel is UFC Fight Night 221 on? BT Sport 2

Where can I stream UFC Fight Night 221? BT Sport subscribers can stream the fight online via the BT Sport website

For viewers in the United States, the event will be shown live on ESPN+ and you can sign up for access as part of a Disney Bundle here!

KARL WILLIAMS VS LUKASZ BRZESKI LOWDOWN

Karl Williams (7-1) makes his UFC debut after a unanimous decision over Jimmy Lawson on the Contender Series. That was back in September last year and was his fourth win of 2022. It was an active year also earning unanimous decisions over Miles Amos (Professional Fighters League) and Kyle Wright (Jorge Masvidal’s Ikon Fighting Championship) before knocking out Simon Martin (XMMA).

Lukasz Brzeski (8-2-1(1)) also earnt the call-up through the Contender Series. He met Dylan Potter (2021) and submitted him in the third-round. However, he popped hot and received a ban. The UFC still granted him his opportunity and met Martin Buday for his debut last year. It was a great fight but unfortunately for him, he came up short in a split decision.

KARL WILLIAMS VS LUKASZ BRZESKI PREDICTION

Interestingly, this is at heavyweight so we should see the most explosive and durable versions of themselves. They match up very similarly physically as natural light heavyweights although we expect Brzeski to be heavier on the night.

This should be a great fight and we expect a mixture of striking and grappling. Williams is very well-rounded and will have the speed advantage and we expect him to leverage that advantage in the striking and wrestling exchanges.

They will start trading on the feet, but if Brzeski begins to land, Williams will level-change and try and seal the takedown. That will be a smart strategy as Brzeski packs a lot of power. He will be a knockout threat while on the feet and will attack the whole body with his arsenal of attacks.

Surprisingly, he is the underdog, so he holds all of the value however, we are backing Williams’ wrestling to nullify the threat and his top control to seal the rounds and convince the judges.

Prediction: Williams via Decision - CLICK HERE FOR PARIMATCH'S WELCOME OFFER (BET £5, GET £30 IN BONUSES!)

Value bet: Brzeski to win

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