July 15, 2022 10:08 PM
Ewan Lavender

MMA Preview – Jessica Penne vs Emily Ducote at UFC on ABC 3

Click here for today’s sports betting tips from our expert analysts!

JESSICA PENNE VS EMILY DUCOTE FACTS

When is UFC on ABC 3? Sunday 17th July, 2022 - 01:00 start (UK)

Where is UFC on ABC 3? UFC APEX, Enterprise, Nevada (US)

Where can I get tickets for UFC on ABC 3? Click here to buy tickets for UFC on ABC 3

What channel is UFC on ABC 3 on? BT Sport 1

Where can I stream UFC ABC 3? BT Sport subscribers can stream the fight online via the BT Sport website

For viewers in the United States, the event will be shown live on ESPN+ and you can sign up for access as part of a Disney Bundle here!

JESSICA PENNE VS EMILY DUCOTE LOWDOWN

2021 was the year Jessica Penne (14-5) craved. She was out for four years with a horrendous run of illnesses, injuries and luck with three straight losses behind her. Two were those dominant knockouts to Joanna Jedrzejczyk (2015) and Jessica Andrade (2016) as well as a unanimous decision to Danielle Taylor (2017). However, her fortunes finally changes when she returned in April last year earning a razor tight split decision over Lupita Godinez and then followed it up with an armbar over fellow veteran Karolina Kowalkiewicz.

Now, she welcomes Emily Ducote (11-6) to the octagon. After losing her first shot at the Invicta strawweight title in a split decision to Kanako Murata (2019), she has gone on to win her next three including two very impressive knockouts. She outpointed Juliana Lima (2020), buried Taylor (2021) to win the vacant title and then defended it against Alesha Zappitella with another great finish back in May.

JESSICA PENNE VS EMILY DUCOTE PREDICTION

If this stays on the feet, you have to back Ducote all day. Penne’s stand-up has always been average and has not improved. She does not have knockout power and tends to leave her chin exposed. Ducote on the other hand, has power and speed on her side.

She will be giving up a four-inch reach advantage, but we would still back her to win the exchanges. Penne is more experienced and if she uses that to mix in grappling and close the distance, she can subdue Ducote’s weapons. She is a solid grappler with great jiu-jitsu, so she has to try and get the fight to the floor.

If she can take Ducote down early, she could grind her way to a decision with Ducote’s own black belt skills enabling her to fend off the submission attempts. However, if she struggles to take her down, Ducote will make this look easy overwhelming Penne with her speed, youth and stunning jab.

Prediction: Ducote via Decision - CLICK HERE FOR PARIMATCH'S WELCOME OFFER (BET £5, GET £30 IN BONUSES!)

Value Bet: Penne via Decision

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