March 24, 2023 1:33 PM
Ewan Lavender

MMA Preview – Daniel Pineda vs Tucker Lutz at UFC on ESPN 43

Click here for today’s sports betting tips from our expert analysts!

DANIEL PINEDA VS TUCKER LUTZ FACTS

When is UFC on ESPN 43? Saturday 25th March, 2023 - 21:00 start (UK)

Where is UFC on ESPN 43? AT&T Center, San Antonio, Texas (US)

Where can I get tickets for UFC on ESPN 43? Click here to buy tickets for UFC Fight Night

What channel is UFC on ESPN 43 on? BT Sport 2

Where can I stream UFC on ESPN 43? BT Sport subscribers can stream the fight online via the BT Sport website

For viewers in the United States, the event will be shown live on ESPN+ and you can sign up for access as part of a Disney Bundle here!

DANIEL PINEDA VS TUCKER LUTZ LOWDOWN

Daniel Pineda (27-14(3)) is coming off his third ‘no contest’ in his last five fights although this one came after suffering an accidental eye poke against Andre Fili (2021). The other two were converted from wins for the PFL featherweight tournament in 2019 due to popping for a banned substance. He still made his UFC debut after that TKOing Herbert Burns (2020) but then got sparked out cold by Cub Swanson four months later.

Tucker Lutz (12-2) has also been inactive not fighting since 2021. That year, he made his UFC debut against Kevin Aguilar at UFC 262 and earnt a unanimous decision. That win capped off a remarkable 12-fight win streak which was snapped by Pat Sabatini six month later via a unanimous decision.

DANIEL PINEDA VS TUCKER LUTZ PREDICTION

Pineda is vastly experienced although he is still unproven at the top level. He is in his second stint now and has another tough test in front of him.

Lutz also brings a relentless pace. He is a good wrestler and brilliant kickboxer which is his first point of call. He has been more patient in recent fights which will serve him well here as we expect Pineda will come out the gate like a bull.

Remarkably, all 27 of Pineda’s wins have been finishes (nine knockouts and 18 submissions) so Lutz will be wise to be the matador and even mix in his wrestling. There is value on Pineda considering the odds, but we are leaning towards a Lutz decision.

Prediction: Lutz via Decision - CLICK HERE FOR PARIMATCH'S WELCOME OFFER (BET £5, GET £30 IN BONUSES!)

Value bet: Pineda via finish

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