March 29, 2024 1:44 PM
Last modified date: March 29, 2024 1:45 PM
Ewan Lavender

MMA Preview – Bill Algeo vs Kyle Nelson at UFC ESPN 54

Click here for today’s sports betting tips from our expert analysts!


When is UFC on ESPN 54? Sunday 31st March, 2024 - 00:00 (UK)

Where is UFC on ESPN 54? Boardwalk Hall, Atlantic City, New Jersey (US)

Where can I get tickets for UFC on ESPN 54? Click here to buy tickets for UFC on ESPN

What channel is UFC on ESPN 54 on? TNT Sports 1

Where can I stream UFC on ESPN 54? TNT Sports subscribers can stream the fight online via the TNT Sports website and Discovery+

For viewers in the United States, the event will be shown live on ESPN+ and you can sign up for access as part of a Disney Bundle here!


Bill Algeo (18-7) went into 2023 off the back of a disappointing split decision loss to Andre Fili. However, he redeemed himself by submitting TJ Brown in a ‘Fight of the Night’ display and then followed that up with a unanimous decision over Alexander Hernandez at UFC Fight Night 229 to bump his UFC tally up to 5-3.

Kyle Nelson (15-5-1) is enjoying a UFC resurgence. He went 1-4 in his first five between 2018 – 2022. He then met Doo Ho Choi at the start of last year and scraped a draw. However, the year ended much better picking up solid unanimous decisions over Blake Bilder and Fernando Padilla.


Algeo will keep up a constant pace bouncing in and out of range with his karate style. He will try and overwhelm Nelson with his volume, and he also has a Brazilian jiu-jitsu black belt in the locker so we may also see the odd takedown attempt.

Nelson is also a striker by trade, and he will also try and enforce the pressure which will create an exciting scrap. He will try and slow the pace down and if he can conduct the tempo, he has a great chance is causing the upset.

However, we feel Algeo’s speed and volume will be enough to convince the judges sealing the deal with a couple takedowns.

Prediction: Algeo via Decision

Value bet: Nelson via Decision

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