The Stats Zone
· Ewan Lavender

MMA Preview – Alexander Hernandez vs Thiago Moises at UFC Vegas 20

MMA Preview – Alexander Hernandez vs Thiago Moises at UFC Vegas 20

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ALEXANDER HERNANDEZ VS THIAGO MOISES FACTS

When is UFC Vegas 20? Saturday 27th February, 2021 - 23:00 start (UK)

Where is UFC Vegas 20? UFC APEX, Las Vegas, Nevada (US)

Where can I get tickets for UFC Vegas 20? Click here for the latest ticket information for UFC events

What channel is UFC Vegas 20 on? BT Sport 3

Where can I stream UFC Vegas 20? BT Sport subscribers can stream the fight online via the BT Sport website

For viewers in the United States, the event will be shown live on ESPN+ and you can sign up for access as part of a Disney Bundle here!

ALEXANDER HERNANDEZ VS THIAGO MOISES LOWDOWN

Donald Cerrone and Drew Dober have been stumbling blocks on Alexander Hernandez’s (12-3) road towards the top, but he is still young and it remains to be seen if he has the makings of beating that calibre of fighter or if he still has room to improve. He did knockout Beneil Dariush who is on fire right now but with the help of a cheap shot. He also managed to earn a unanimous decision against Francisco Trinaldo in between his losses and is coming off an efficient knockout over Chris Gruetzemacher but now needs to past the next test up a level.

That level is Thiago Moises (14-4) who has also had a couple losses stifle his rise. He lost unanimous decisions to Dariush and Damir Ismagulov which happens to some of the best, but he is coming off two wins although they were not dominant. Michael Johnson was piecing him on on the feet until Moises decided to snatch his ankle and submit him at the start of the second round and he is coming off a unanimous decision over Bobby Green but was fortunate to sway all the judges.

ALEXANDER HERNANDEZ VS THIAGO MOISES PREDICTION

If either fighter want to get near the top 10, they have to get an impressive win here and it is a very interesting stylistic match up. Hernandez is an explosive striker with a wrestling base and Moises is well-rounded but a beast on the mat as a black belt in Brazilian jiu-jitsu.

So, Hernandez may decide to avoid tangling on the mat completely and rely on his speed on the feet to find a knockout. He will also have looked at Johnson’s first round against Moises and although Hernandez does not have the technique of Johnson, he has the power and we expect him to back his hands.

We back Hernandez to earn a decision at least and use his wrestling as a ‘plan B’, but his arrogance could work against him. If he takes Moises too lightly, he will pay for it especially if he makes a mistake on the ground.

Prediction: Hernandez via Decision - CLICK HERE FOR PARIMATCH'S WELCOME OFFER (BET £5, GET £30 IN BONUSES!)

Value Bet: Moises via Submission

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