MMA Preview – Alexander Hernandez vs Mike Breeden at UFC Vegas 38
ALEXANDER HERNANDEZ VS MIKE BREEDEN FACTS
When is UFC Vegas 38? Saturday 2nd October, 2021 -21:00 start (UK)
Where is UFC Vegas 38? UFC APEX, Enterprise, Nevada (US)
Where can I get tickets for UFC Vegas 38? Click here for the latest ticket information for UFC events
What channel is UFC Vegas 38 on? BT Sport 3
Where can I stream UFC Vegas 38? BT Sport subscribers can stream the fight online via the BT Sport website
For viewers in the United States, the event will be shown live on ESPN+ and you can sign up for access as part of a Disney Bundle here!
ALEXANDER HERNANDEZ VS MIKE BREEDEN LOWDOWN
Alexander Hernandez (12-4) was preparing for Leonardo Santos and did not have an opponent until a few days out, so he is just grateful he is still has a fight. Especially as he is coming off the third loss of his UFC career. He got humbled by a Donald Cerrone head kick after a successful debut and unanimous decision over Olivier Aubin-Mercier. He bounced back with another solid unanimous decision over Francisco Trinaldo but then got knocked out again, this time by Drew Dober. He got back on track again with a knockout over Chris Gruetzemacher but is coming off another humbling dealt out by Thiago Moises who impressed all three judges.
Mike Breeden (10-3) steps up to the plate to replace the Brazilian and he is clearly game accepting Alexander Hernandez for a debut. He earnt an audition on the Contender Series back in August last year after three knockouts in 2019 – Henry Lindsay (Blue Corner Promotions), Chel Erwin-Davis and Brandon Jenkins (Legacy Fighting Alliance). He failed to impress on the Contender Series losing a unanimous decision to Anthony Romero, but he remained on the radar after head kicking Ken Beverly and outpointing Nick Compton for the Fighting Alliance Championship.
ALEXANDER HERNANDEZ VS MIKE BREEDEN PREDICTION
Hernandez has everything to lose. He is fully expected him to beat the debutant and if he loses then he will be written off as a future title challenger, so there is a lot of pressure on him here.
Breeden certainly has a chance of causing the upset. He is not as powerful as Hernandez, but he matched up similarly physically – slightly taller but two inches less in reach. Although he keeps his hands low, he is a solid striker and will test Hernandez’s chin if he lands clean.
Breeden is dangerous in the pocket and has a takedown in the locker, however, Hernandez should have the advantage in every area, on paper at least. He has the speed to pick Breeden off on the feet. Breeden is tough and heavy handed, but his square stance, lack of head movement and low hands will make him an easy target for Hernandez.
Hernandez also has the wrestling and cardio to completely overwhelm him and piling on the damage with ground-and-pound. With his experience, he may just notch up his sixth knockout, but the James Krause student will make it a tough fight.
Prediction: Hernandez via KO/TKO - CLICK HERE FOR PARIMATCH'S WELCOME OFFER (BET £5, GET £30 IN BONUSES!)