The Stats Zone

Lorenzo Musetti vs Gabriel Diallo Preview & Prediction | 2025 Madrid Open | Quarter-Final

by Paul Hassall · April 30 2025, 23:59
Lorenzo Musetti vs Gabriel Diallo Preview & Prediction | 2025 Madrid Open | Quarter-Final

Tenth seed Lorenzo Musetti will battle Gabriel Diallo for a spot in the last four.

Ranking points: ATP 1000

Start date/time: Thursday 1st May, 2025: UK – not before 7pm / US ET – not before 2pm / US PT – not before 11am

Venue: Park Manzanares, Madrid, Spain

Surface: Outdoor clay

How to watch on TV: UK – Sky Sports Tennis / US – Tennis Channel

How to watch online: UK – Sky Go / US – Tennis Channel

Tickets: Visit this link for the latest Lorenzo Musetti vs Gabriel Diallo ticket information

Lorenzo Musetti vs Gabriel Diallo prediction

Lucky loser Gabriel Diallo’s sensational run in the Spanish capital has propelled him into an unlikely quarter-final clash with tenth seed Lorenzo Musetti. 

The Canadian showed grit, resilience and bravery to ward off three match points and oust 15th seed Grigor Dimitrov 5-7 7-6 6-4. 

The world number 78, who will rise to the brink of the top 50 as things stand, has taken full advantage of second seed Carlos Alcaraz’s withdrawal from his section of the draw to impressively make his maiden Masters 1000 quarter-final. 

Next up, the 23-year-old will take on Musetti, who is targeting back-to-back Masters 1000 finals after finishing as runner-up in Monte Carlo. 

The Italian oozed class and confidence as he defeated Alex de Minaur 6-4 6-2. 

This will be their third meeting and first on clay with Musetti winning 6-4 6-3 in Hong Kong in their most recent clash earlier this season. 

Diallo keeps proving everyone wrong and he will feel indestructible after surviving against Dimitrov, but Musetti will crack the top ten for the first time come the end of the week and his form on the dirt makes him the obvious bet. 

Lorenzo Musetti vs Gabriel Diallo tip: Lorenzo Musetti to win

Tennis Latest