Carlos Alcaraz vs Denis Shapovalov Preview & Prediction | 2026 Japan Open | Quarter-Final

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Carlos Alcaraz meets Denis Shapovalov in the quarter finals at the 2026 Japan Open at the Ariake Coliseum in Tokyo, Japan

Ranking points: ATP 500

Start date/time: 4 October 2026 at 3:00 am

Venue: Ariake Coliseum, Tokyo, Japan

Surface: Outdoor hard

How to watch on TV: UK – Sky Sports Tennis / USA – Tennis Channel

How to watch online: UK – Sky Go / USA – Tennis Channel

Tickets: Visit this link for the latest Carlos Alcaraz vs Denis Shapovalov ticket information

Carlos Alcaraz vs Denis Shapovalov prediction

Carlos Alcaraz keeps finding solutions despite not being at his best as he continues his title defence in Tokyo.

The Spaniard survived multiple set points in his opener with Matteo Arnaldi before pulling clear to clinch a 7-6 6-1 victory.

The top seed now meets Denis Shapovalov for the third time after the Canadian battled to a 7-5 3-6 6-4 win over Alejandro Tabilo.

Alcaraz leads the match-up 2-0 and has never lost a set to Shapo, who can blow hot and cold with red-hot tennis juxtaposed by over-zealous misfires. 

The seven-time Major winner has just as many weapons with more consistency overall and that should be what decides this match-up once again when it matters most.

Carlos Alcaraz vs Denis Shapovalov tip: Carlos Alcaraz to win 2-0