2020 Nitto ATP Finals – Dominic Thiem vs Andrey Rublev Preview & Prediction

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THE FACTS

When is Dominic Thiem vs Andrey Rublev on and what time does it start? Thursday 19th November, 2020 – 14:00 (UK)

Where is Dominic Thiem vs Andrey Rublev taking place? The O2 Arena, London

What channel is Dominic Thiem vs Andrey Rublev on? BBC Two

Where can I stream Dominic Thiem vs Andrey Rublev? Amazon Prime subscribers can stream the match via Amazon Prime Video

Where can I get tickets for Dominic Thiem vs Andrey Rublev? The Nitto ATP Finals will be played without spectators

THE LOWDOWN

DOMINIC THIEM

  • Dominic Thiem saves his very best game for Rafael Nadal and showed his quality in his second defeat of the Spaniard this year with an emphatic straight-sets win.
  • The world number three deserves his place in the rankings and proved any doubters wrong with one of his best-ever matches, akin to his four-set defeat of Nadal at the Australian Open at the turn of the year.
  • Thiem’s two wins from two puts him in pole position for the title here after he lost the final last year to Stefanos Tsitsipas and the Austrian will fear no one in his pursuit of a first ATP Finals trophy.

ANDREY RUBLEV

  • Andrey Rublev had match points on his racket against Stefanos Tsitsipas in their decider on Tuesday night but he failed to convert, losing his last opportunity on a double fault.
  • The debutant strikes a similar figure to his compatriot, Daniil Medvedev, who came into the ATP Finals for the first time last year off the back of a blistering season and lost all three games as he ran out of steam.
  • Rublev is a fighter and will fancy his chances against Thiem in this dead rubber as he has beaten the Austrian the last two times they have met and indeed recently on an indoors hard court at the Vienna Open.

THE PREDICTION

It will be interesting to see who takes the initiative in this match between already-through Dominic Thiem and already-out Andrey Rublev, with the Russian’s pride versus Thiem’s placing in the knockout phase up for grabs. 27-year-old Thiem shares a 2-2 head-to-head record with Rublev but has not beaten his younger opponent since 2018, with two straight-sets wins for the Russian since then. However, last month’s Vienna Open defeat was in part due to the ailing fitness of defending champion Thiem and the Austrian is clearly back to his best abilities. Rublev’s young petulance is one of his biggest weapons and he can rip a set from the jaws of defeat from anybody, so this match going to three, especially after a mammoth effort from Thiem to beat Nadal on Tuesday, would be a reasonable suggestion. After that, there is plenty about Rublev’s character to say that he would simply refuse to leave the ATP Finals without a victory but Dominic Thiem has to be fancied to edge past him and into the knockout phase as Group London 2020 winner.

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