2020 Australian Open Women’s Final – Sofia Kenin vs Garbine Muguruza Preview & Prediction

THE FACTS

Where is Sofia Kenin vs Garbine Muguruza taking place? Melbourne Park, Melbourne

When is Sofia Kenin vs Garbine Muguruza on and what time does it start? Saturday 1st February, 2020 – 8:30 (UK)

What is the expected weather for Sofia Kenin vs Garbine Muguruza? Rain expected which should see the roof closed, 19c

What channel is Sofia Kenin vs Garbine Muguruzaon? The 2020 Australian Open will be televised on Eurosport so it is worth checking their schedule for this specific match

Where can I stream Sofia Kenin vs Garbine Muguruzain the UK? Sky customers can stream this match on the Sky Go app. Alternatively, the match can be streamed to subscribers of Eurosport Player, either on the official website or as an add-on to an Amazon Prime subscription

Where can I get tickets for Sofia Kenin vs Garbine Muguruza? Click here to reach the official 2020 Australian Open ticket selection

Who won the last meeting between Sofia Kenin vs Garbine Muguruza? Sofia Kenin beat Garbine Muguruza 6-0, 2-6, 6-2

THE LOWDOWN

SOFIA KENIN

  • Sofia Kenin battled hard against Australia’s Ash Barty and seemed to break the world number one’s resolve after taking the first set tiebreak 8-5 in a close straight-sets win.
  • Kenin is the 14th seed at the Australian Open but few would have believed her capable of reaching her maiden Grand Slam final here in Melbourne, with a round of 16 place at last year’s Roland-Garros her previous best.
  • Kenin was the victor in the only previous tour-level meeting with Muguruza at the 2019 China Open, where she took the first set to love before winning in three.

GARBINE MUGURUZA

  • Former Roland-Garros and Wimbledon champion Garbine Muguruza has not exactly come from the blue to reach the final here in Melbourne but she is certainly a surprise finalist.
  • The Spaniard is a player for the big stage and after two shaky rounds where she came through in three sets, she has beaten three top 10 seeds including a momentous win over world number four Simona Halep to reach her first hard court Grand Slam final.
  • 26-year-old Muguruza is particularly unpredictable but should be the favourite when she walks out on Rod Laver Arena as the elder player with Grand Slam titles behind her.

KEY STATS

  • The player who has won the first set has gone on to win the final in 12 of the last 14 years in the women’s final at the Australian Open – Li Na (2011 and 2013) is the only player who came from behind to win the final since Serena Williams in 2005.
  • Sofia Kenin won the only previous meeting between the two players.
  • The only previous meeting between Sofia Kenin and Garbine Muguruza lasted three sets.
  • All three sets in the previous meeting between Sofia Kenin and Garbine Muguruza contained eight games or less.
  • Sofia Kenin’s record in singles finals is won three and lost one – she has come from behind after losing the opening set to win in each of her last two appearance in singles finals.
  • Seven of Sofia Kenin’s last nine sets at the 2020 Australian Open have contained 10 games or more.
  • Sofia Kenin has dropped only one set in reaching the final at the 2020 Australian Open.
  • Garbine Muguruza is aiming to become only the third unseeded woman to win the Australian Open after Australia’s Chris O'Neil (1978) and Serena Williams (2007).
  • Garbine Muguruza has won in straight sets in her last two appearances in Grand Slam singles finals.
  • Garbine Muguruza has won in six of her last seven appearances in singles finals.
  • Garbine Muguruza won the opening set 7-5 in her last two appearances in Grand Slam singles finals.
  • Garbine Muguruza’s coach Conchita Martinez was the last Spanish woman to appear in the Australian Open final (1998).
  • All of Garbine Muguruza’s four Grand Slam singles finals have been contested against American players – Serena Williams (twice), Venus Williams and now Sofia Kenin.
  • Sofia Kenin and Garbine Muguruza both won their first WTA singles titles in Australia – with Garbine Muguruza winning the Hobart International in 2014 and Sofia Kenin winning the same tournament in 2019.

THE PREDICTION

This was not supposed to be the Australian Open final when Ashleigh Barty and Simona Halep met Sofia Kenin and Garbine Muguruza respectively, but both players have an incredible opportunity here in what should be a real battle from the baseline. Sofia Kenin may be in her first Grand Slam final but she has big-game experience, beating Serena Williams in the third round of last year’s Roland-Garros to reach her previous best placing. She’s in uncharted waters here but that could make her dangerous against Muguruza, one of the more emotion-driven players on tour. The Spaniard has the power to beat anyone, but can lose her head on occasion, and this could be one of those matches where the winner of the first set eventually loses.

On the balance of play, Muguruza’s Grand Slam experience should see the 26-year-old win her third major title, but Sofia Kenin must not be underestimated and her first major would not be a huge surprise.

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