MMA Preview – Rafael dos Anjos vs Michael Chiesa at UFC Fight Night 166

THE FACTS

When is UFC Fight Night 166? Saturday 25th January, 2020 - 23:00 start (UK)

Where is UFC Fight Night 166? PNC Arena, Raleigh, North Carolina

What channel is UFC Fight Night 166 on? BT Sport 2

Where can I stream UFC Fight Night 166? BT Sport subscribers can stream the fight online via the BT Sport website

For viewers in the United States, the event will be shown live on ESPN+ which can you sign up to here!

Are tickets still available for UFC Fight Night 166? https://www.ufc.com/tickets

THE STATISTICS

THE LOWDOWN

Michael Chiesa looks to make it three from three at welterweight but has a big step-up in competition in the form of Rafael dos Anjos.

The former lightweight champion has had mixed fortunes since he made the move up himself to welterweight but Dos Anjos has stepped in the path of monsters. He is one of many to suffer decision losses to Colby Covington and Kamaru Usman but bounced back with a brilliant submission win over Kevin Lee. However, the Brazilian is coming off another decision loss, this time to Leon Edwards.

Chiesa really struggled with the weight cut to 155 lbs and after getting submitted by Kevin Lee and Anthony Pettis, he decided to make the jump to 170 lbs which is clearly the right division for him. He submitted Carlos Condit and then dominated Diego Sanchez in a decision but this will be a true test of his potential against the classy veteran.

THE PREDICTION

Chiesa’s strengths undeniably lie in his grappling. He has the ability to out-wrestle Dos Anjos but the Brazilian is too skilled on the mat to receive too much damage. Dos Anjos has elite Brazilian jiu-jitsu but Chiesa may try and keep him on the ground to grind out a decision.

If Dos Anjos can leverage his ground skills to force the stand-up battle, you have to back him despite the five and a half reach disadvantage. He is the superior striker but has not finished anyone on the feet since 2015 so a decision is more likely.

Winner: Dos Anjos via Decision

Striking and grappling stats sourced via FightMetric.

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