October 08, 2021 10:21 AM
Ewan Lavender

MMA Preview – Phil Hawes vs Deron Winn at UFC Vegas 39

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PHIL HAWES VS DERON WINN FACTS

When is UFC Vegas 39? Saturday 9th October, 2021 -19:00 start (UK)

Where is UFC Vegas 39? UFC APEX, Enterprise, Nevada (US)

Where can I get tickets for UFC Vegas 39? Click here for the latest ticket information for UFC events

What channel is UFC Vegas 39 on? BT Sport 2

Where can I stream UFC Vegas 39? BT Sport subscribers can stream the fight online via the BT Sport website

For viewers in the United States, the event will be shown live on ESPN+ and you can sign up for access as part of a Disney Bundle here!

PHIL HAWES VS DERON WINN LOWDOWN

Phil Hawes (11-2) is on fire at the moment. The UFC came calling after four first-round finishes. He TKO’d Michael Wilcox (Bellator), submitted Dominic Schober, knocked out Yuri Fraga (both Brave CF) and the blasted Khadzhimurat Bestaev on the Contender Series. He continued that form on his debut by starching Jacob Malkoun and then went on to see the bell for the first time in his career. He earnt a majority decision over Nassourdine Imavov in February and then earnt a more convincing unanimous decision over Kyle Daukaus three months later.

Deron Winn (7-2) makes the walk after a rib injury postponed their original date at UFC Vegas 31. Winn is also coming off a unanimous decision win where he made a mockery of Antonio Arroyo’s cardio. That win prevented a three-fight skid losing a split decision to Darren Stewart in 2019 and getting submitted by Gerald Meerschaert five months later.

PHIL HAWES VS DERON WINN PREDICTION

As usual, Winn gives up a significant height and reach advantage because he cannot go on a diet. Hawes will have a seven-inch reach and six-inch height advantage and he will know what to expect.

Winn will start striking, then inevitably close the distance and look for a takedown. Despite his size, he is one of the best technical wrestlers in the division. Hawes is a quality MMA wrestler, but he will need those skills to defend and keep the fight on the feet.

If he succeeds, he will light Winn up and he has the power to finish him with a variety of strikes. There was a question mark over his cardio, but it held up in his last couple fights.

So, this all depends on Hawes’ takedown defence. He has never been taken down in the UFC, but Daukaus is the only fighter who has attempted. We can certainly see Winn getting Hawes down, but we are backing the powerhouse to keep the fight standing long enough to get the job done.

Prediction: Hawes via KO/TKO - CLICK HERE FOR PARIMATCH'S WELCOME OFFER (BET £5, GET £30 IN BONUSES!)

Value Bet: Winn via Decision

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